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Week 4 fantasy RB rankings (Standard)

Every RB’s projected points for week 4 in Standard scoring, in the order we pinned them before the first kickoff. Points come first; the Advanced switch adds our model’s number, the last 4 games average, and each player’s z-score and percentile among running backs.

This is week 4 as it was pinned. The current week is week 6.

QBRBWRTEKDEFPPRHalf PPRStandard

The pinned projections, a blend of our model and each player’s last four games · Built Tue, Sep 29, and saved before the first kickoff · fingerprint 17588e79: the code that proves these numbers haven’t changed since they were saved

RB · Standard · points
  1. 1Jahmyr GibbsDETvs CAROur model 17.4 · Last 4 games 26.8 · z-score +3.19 · 99th percentile19.6 projected points80% range 7.5 to 34.7
  2. 2Derrick HenryBALvs TENOur model 16.0 · Last 4 games 23.3 · z-score +2.77 · 97th percentile17.7 projected points80% range 6.5 to 31.6
  3. 3Bijan RobinsonATLvs NOOur model 16.5 · Last 4 games 21.6 · z-score +2.77 · 97th percentile17.7 projected points80% range 6.5 to 31.6
  4. 4Jonathan TaylorINDvs WASOur model 16.3 · Last 4 games 18.2 · z-score +2.56 · 97th percentile16.7 projected points80% range 6.0 to 30.0
  5. 5Kenneth Walker IIIKCvs LVOur model 13.8 · Last 4 games 22.7 · z-score +2.38 · 96th percentile15.9 projected points80% range 5.6 to 28.7
  6. 6James CookBUFvs NEOur model 15.1 · Last 4 games 15.4 · z-score +2.22 · 95th percentile15.2 projected points80% range 5.2 to 27.5
  7. 7Christian McCaffreySFvs DENOur model 14.9 · Last 4 games 15.0 · z-score +2.16 · 94th percentile15.0 projected points80% range 5.1 to 27.1
  8. 8Ashton JeantyLVvs KCOur model 14.8 · Last 4 games 14.1 · z-score +2.10 · 93rd percentile14.7 projected points80% range 4.9 to 26.7
  9. 9Kyren WilliamsLAvs PHIOur model 11.7 · Last 4 games 14.0 · z-score +1.55 · 92nd percentile12.2 projected points80% range 3.6 to 22.6
  10. 10D'Andre SwiftCHIvs NYJOur model 10.9 · Last 4 games 16.0 · z-score +1.53 · 92nd percentile12.1 projected points80% range 3.6 to 22.5
  11. 11Javonte WilliamsDALvs HOUOur model 11.1 · Last 4 games 13.5 · z-score +1.42 · 91st percentile11.6 projected points80% range 3.3 to 21.7
  12. 12Chase BrownCINvs JAXOur model 12.2 · Last 4 games 9.6 · z-score +1.41 · 90th percentile11.6 projected points80% range 3.3 to 21.6
  13. 13Jeremiyah LoveARIvs NYGOur model 11.8 · Last 4 games 10.8 · z-score +1.40 · 89th percentile11.5 projected points80% range 3.3 to 21.6
  14. 14Aaron JonesMINvs MIAOur model 11.8 · Last 4 games 9.9 · z-score +1.35 · 88th percentile11.3 projected points80% range 3.2 to 21.3
  15. 15Cam SkatteboNYGvs ARIOur model 11.7 · Last 4 games 9.9 · z-score +1.35 · 87th percentile11.3 projected points80% range 3.1 to 21.3
  16. 16Omarion HamptonLACvs SEAOur model 11.3 · Last 4 games 9.8 · z-score +1.26 · 86th percentile10.9 projected points80% range 3.0 to 20.8
  17. 17Breece HallNYJvs CHIOut (quadricep) on the week 4 official injury report; dnpOur model 10.3 · Last 4 games 10.8 · z-score +1.16 · 86th percentile10.4 projected points80% range 2.7 to 20.2
  18. 18Chuba HubbardCARvs DETOur model 9.1 · Last 4 games 14.7 · z-score +1.15 · 85th percentile10.4 projected points80% range 2.7 to 20.2
  19. 19Bucky IrvingTBvs GBOur model 10.4 · Last 4 games 9.4 · z-score +1.10 · 84th percentile10.2 projected points80% range 2.6 to 19.9
  20. 20David MontgomeryHOUvs DALOur model 9.9 · Last 4 games 11.0 · z-score +1.10 · 83rd percentile10.2 projected points80% range 2.5 to 19.9
  21. 21Bhayshul TutenJAXvs CINOur model 9.4 · Last 4 games 12.0 · z-score +1.06 · 82nd percentile10.0 projected points80% range 2.5 to 19.7
  22. 22Travis EtienneNOvs ATLOn injured reserve (weekly roster, week 4)Our model 10.5 · Last 4 games 6.6 · z-score +0.97 · 81st percentile9.6 projected points80% range 2.3 to 19.2
  23. 23Jaylen WarrenPITvs CLEOur model 9.1 · Last 4 games 10.2 · z-score +0.92 · 80th percentile9.4 projected points80% range 2.1 to 18.8
  24. 24Saquon BarkleyPHIvs LAOur model 9.5 · Last 4 games 6.0 · z-score +0.76 · 80th percentile8.7 projected points80% range 1.8 to 17.6
  25. 25TreVeyon HendersonNEvs BUFOur model 8.7 · Last 4 games 8.3 · z-score +0.75 · 79th percentile8.6 projected points80% range 1.7 to 17.5
  26. 26De'Von AchaneMIAvs MINOn injured reserve (weekly roster, week 4)Our model 9.3 · Last 4 games 5.9 · z-score +0.73 · 78th percentile8.5 projected points80% range 1.7 to 17.4
  27. 27Jacory Croskey-MerrittWASvs INDOur model 8.8 · Last 4 games 6.9 · z-score +0.68 · 77th percentile8.3 projected points80% range 1.6 to 17.0
  28. 28Rhamondre StevensonNEvs BUFOur model 9.2 · Last 4 games 5.3 · z-score +0.68 · 76th percentile8.3 projected points80% range 1.6 to 17.0
  29. 29Quinshon JudkinsCLEvs PITOur model 9.0 · Last 4 games 5.9 · z-score +0.68 · 75th percentile8.3 projected points80% range 1.6 to 17.0
  30. 30Kyle MonangaiCHIvs NYJOur model 7.4 · Last 4 games 9.1 · z-score +0.56 · 74th percentile7.8 projected points80% range 1.4 to 16.3
  31. 31Jadarian PriceSEAvs LACOut (chest) on the week 4 official injury report; dnpOur model 9.0 · Last 4 games 3.3 · z-score +0.54 · 74th percentile7.7 projected points80% range 1.3 to 16.2
  32. 32Tony PollardTENvs BALOur model 7.7 · Last 4 games 6.5 · z-score +0.48 · 73rd percentile7.4 projected points80% range 1.2 to 16.0
  33. 33J.K. DobbinsDENvs SFOur model 8.0 · Last 4 games 4.2 · z-score +0.41 · 72nd percentile7.1 projected points80% range 1.1 to 15.6
  34. 34Rachaad WhiteWASvs INDOut (shoulder) on the week 4 official injury report; dnpOur model 6.5 · Last 4 games 7.0 · z-score +0.31 · 71st percentile6.6 projected points80% range 0.9 to 15.1
  35. 35Woody MarksHOUvs DALOur model 6.9 · Last 4 games 5.2 · z-score +0.28 · 70th percentile6.5 projected points80% range 0.8 to 14.8
  36. 36Alvin KamaraNOvs ATLOur model 7.5 · Last 4 games 3.1 · z-score +0.26 · 69th percentile6.4 projected points80% range 0.8 to 14.7
  37. 37Blake CorumLAvs PHIOur model 6.7 · Last 4 games 5.4 · z-score +0.24 · 68th percentile6.3 projected points80% range 0.8 to 14.5
  38. 38RJ HarveyDENvs SFOur model 6.8 · Last 4 games 4.4 · z-score +0.23 · 68th percentile6.3 projected points80% range 0.8 to 14.4
  39. 39MarShawn LloydGBvs TBOur model 6.9 · Last 4 games 4.0 · z-score +0.22 · 67th percentile6.2 projected points80% range 0.8 to 14.3
  40. 40Ollie Gordon IIMIAvs MINOur model 6.0 · Last 4 games 6.1 · z-score +0.17 · 66th percentile6.0 projected points80% range 0.7 to 13.9
  41. 41Brian RobinsonATLvs NOOur model 5.7 · Last 4 games 6.9 · z-score +0.16 · 65th percentile6.0 projected points80% range 0.7 to 13.9
  42. 42Emanuel WilsonSEAvs LACOur model 6.2 · Last 4 games 3.6 · z-score +0.07 · 64th percentile5.6 projected points80% range 0.6 to 13.1
  43. 43Ty JohnsonBUFvs NEOur model 5.6 · Last 4 games 5.0 · z-score +0.04 · 63rd percentile5.5 projected points80% range 0.6 to 12.9
  44. 44Tyler AllgeierARIvs NYGOur model 6.1 · Last 4 games 3.3 · z-score +0.04 · 62nd percentile5.4 projected points80% range 0.6 to 12.9
  45. 45Kaelon BlackSFvs DENOur model 5.5 · Last 4 games 3.7 · z-score −0.03 · 62nd percentile5.1 projected points80% range 0.5 to 12.6
  46. 46Rico DowdlePITvs CLEOut (toe) on the week 4 official injury report; dnpOur model 5.3 · Last 4 games 3.3 · z-score −0.09 · 61st percentile4.8 projected points80% range 0.5 to 12.4
  47. 47Kendre MillerNOvs ATLOur model 4.6 · Last 4 games 5.5 · z-score −0.10 · 60th percentile4.8 projected points80% range 0.4 to 12.4
  48. 48Keaton MitchellLACvs SEAOur model 4.6 · Last 4 games 5.2 · z-score −0.12 · 58th percentile4.7 projected points80% range 0.4 to 12.3
  49. 49Emmett JohnsonKCvs LVOur model 5.0 · Last 4 games 4.0 · z-score −0.12 · 58th percentile4.7 projected points80% range 0.4 to 12.3
  50. 50Braelon AllenNYJvs CHIOur model 4.8 · Last 4 games 4.4 · z-score −0.12 · 57th percentile4.7 projected points80% range 0.4 to 12.3
  51. 51Chris Rodriguez Jr.JAXvs CINOur model 4.8 · Last 4 games 4.4 · z-score −0.13 · 56th percentile4.7 projected points80% range 0.4 to 12.3
  52. 52Mike Washington Jr.LVvs KCOur model 4.4 · Last 4 games 5.4 · z-score −0.14 · 56th percentile4.6 projected points80% range 0.4 to 12.2
  53. 53Devin SingletaryNYGvs ARIOur model 4.4 · Last 4 games 5.3 · z-score −0.15 · 55th percentile4.6 projected points80% range 0.4 to 12.2
  54. 54Tyjae SpearsTENvs BALQuestionable (ankle) on the week 4 official injury report; fullOur model 4.4 · Last 4 games 3.3 · z-score −0.25 · 54th percentile4.2 projected points80% range 0.3 to 11.7
  55. 55Justice HillBALvs TENOur model 4.5 · Last 4 games 2.6 · z-score −0.27 · 53rd percentile4.1 projected points80% range 0.3 to 11.5
  56. 56George HolaniSEAvs LACOur model 4.2 · Last 4 games 3.4 · z-score −0.28 · 52nd percentile4.0 projected points80% range 0.3 to 11.5
  57. 57Samaje PerineCINvs JAXOur model 4.3 · Last 4 games 2.9 · z-score −0.29 · 51st percentile4.0 projected points80% range 0.3 to 11.4
  58. 58Tank BigsbyPHIvs LAOur model 4.2 · Last 4 games 2.9 · z-score −0.30 · 50th percentile3.9 projected points80% range 0.3 to 11.3
  59. 59Michael CarterTENvs BALOur model 3.7 · z-score −0.34 · 50th percentile3.7 projected points80% range 0.3 to 11.0
  60. 60Najee HarrisNYGvs ARIOur model 3.8 · Last 4 games 2.9 · z-score −0.37 · 49th percentile3.6 projected points80% range 0.2 to 10.7
  61. 61Chris BrooksGBvs TBOur model 4.0 · Last 4 games 2.0 · z-score −0.39 · 48th percentile3.5 projected points80% range 0.2 to 10.6
  62. 62Kaleb JohnsonGBvs TBOur model 3.7 · Last 4 games 2.4 · z-score −0.41 · 47th percentile3.4 projected points80% range 0.2 to 10.4
  63. 63Kenny GainwellTBvs GBOur model 4.0 · Last 4 games 1.4 · z-score −0.41 · 46th percentile3.4 projected points80% range 0.2 to 10.4
  64. 64Raheim SandersCLEvs PITOur model 3.5 · Last 4 games 2.9 · z-score −0.42 · 45th percentile3.4 projected points80% range 0.2 to 10.3
  65. 65D.GiddensINDvs WASOur model 2.9 · z-score −0.52 · 44th percentile2.9 projected points80% range 0.2 to 9.2
  66. 66Kaytron AllenWASvs INDOur model 3.2 · Last 4 games 2.0 · z-score −0.52 · 44th percentile2.9 projected points80% range 0.2 to 9.2
  67. 67Ameer AbdullahJAXvs CINOur model 3.2 · Last 4 games 1.6 · z-score −0.55 · 43rd percentile2.8 projected points80% range 0.1 to 8.9
  68. 68Sione VakiDETvs CAROur model 2.8 · Last 4 games 2.5 · z-score −0.56 · 41st percentile2.7 projected points80% range 0.1 to 8.7
  69. 69Corey KinerNEvs BUFOur model 3.2 · Last 4 games 1.3 · z-score −0.56 · 41st percentile2.7 projected points80% range 0.1 to 8.7
  70. 70Bam KnightARIvs NYGOur model 2.8 · Last 4 games 2.4 · z-score −0.57 · 40th percentile2.7 projected points80% range 0.1 to 8.7
  71. 71AJ DillonCARvs DETOur model 3.1 · Last 4 games 1.3 · z-score −0.58 · 39th percentile2.6 projected points80% range 0.1 to 8.4
  72. 72Ray DavisBUFvs NEQuestionable (hamstring) on the week 4 official injury report; limitedOur model 3.2 · Last 4 games 0.3 · z-score −0.61 · 39th percentile2.5 projected points80% range 0.1 to 8.2
  73. 73Jordan JamesSFvs DENOur model 2.8 · Last 4 games 1.5 · z-score −0.62 · 38th percentile2.5 projected points80% range 0.1 to 7.9
  74. 74Sean TuckerTBvs GBOur model 2.4 · z-score −0.64 · 36th percentile2.4 projected points80% range 0.1 to 7.7
  75. 75Will ShipleyPHIvs LAOur model 2.6 · Last 4 games 1.7 · z-score −0.64 · 36th percentile2.4 projected points80% range 0.1 to 7.7
  76. 76Kimani VidalLACvs SEAOur model 2.4 · Last 4 games 2.0 · z-score −0.66 · 35th percentile2.3 projected points80% range 0.1 to 7.5
  77. 77Tyler BadieDENvs SFOur model 2.3 · Last 4 games 2.1 · z-score −0.67 · 34th percentile2.2 projected points80% range 0.1 to 7.4
  78. 78Kyle JuszczykSFvs DENOur model 2.2 · z-score −0.68 · 33rd percentile2.2 projected points80% range 0.1 to 7.3
  79. 79Michael BurtonCLEvs PITOur model 2.2 · z-score −0.68 · 33rd percentile2.2 projected points80% range 0.1 to 7.3
  80. 80Tyler GoodsonDALvs HOUOur model 2.3 · Last 4 games 1.7 · z-score −0.69 · 32nd percentile2.2 projected points80% range 0.1 to 7.3
  81. 81Jaylen WrightMIAvs MINOur model 2.6 · Last 4 games 0.5 · z-score −0.70 · 31st percentile2.1 projected points80% range 0.1 to 7.2
  82. 82Jaleel McLaughlinCLEvs PITOur model 2.7 · Last 4 games 0.3 · z-score −0.70 · 30th percentile2.1 projected points80% range 0.1 to 7.2
  83. 83Alec IngoldLACvs SEAOur model 2.0 · z-score −0.72 · 28th percentile2.0 projected points80% range 0.1 to 7.0
  84. 84Emari DemercadoDALvs HOUOur model 2.4 · Last 4 games 0.8 · z-score −0.72 · 28th percentile2.0 projected points80% range 0.1 to 7.0
  85. 85Seth McGowanINDvs WASOur model 2.4 · Last 4 games 0.5 · z-score −0.74 · 27th percentile1.9 projected points80% range 0.1 to 6.9
  86. 86Kene NwangwuNYJvs CHIOur model 1.9 · z-score −0.74 · 26th percentile1.9 projected points80% range 0.1 to 6.9
  87. 87Nicholas SingletonTENvs BALOur model 2.2 · Last 4 games 1.0 · z-score −0.74 · 26th percentile1.9 projected points80% range 0.1 to 6.9
  88. 88Brashard SmithKCvs LVOur model 2.4 · Last 4 games 0.4 · z-score −0.75 · 24th percentile1.9 projected points80% range 0.1 to 6.8
  89. 89Riley NowakowskiPITvs CLEOur model 1.9 · z-score −0.75 · 24th percentile1.9 projected points80% range 0.1 to 6.8
  90. 90Brady RussellSEAvs LACOur model 1.7 · Last 4 games 2.0 · z-score −0.78 · 23rd percentile1.8 projected points80% range 0.0 to 6.5
  91. 91DeeJay DallasMINvs MIAOur model 1.9 · Last 4 games 0.8 · z-score −0.81 · 22nd percentile1.6 projected points80% range 0.0 to 6.3
  92. 92Demond ClaiborneMINvs MIAOur model 2.0 · Last 4 games 0.1 · z-score −0.82 · 21st percentile1.6 projected points80% range 0.0 to 6.2
  93. 93Velus JonesSEAvs LACOur model 1.5 · z-score −0.83 · 21st percentile1.5 projected points80% range 0.0 to 6.1
  94. 94CJ DonaldsonNOvs ATLOur model 1.9 · Last 4 games 0.3 · z-score −0.84 · 20th percentile1.5 projected points80% range 0.0 to 6.0
  95. 95Tyrone Tracy Jr.NYGvs ARIOur model 2.0 · Last 4 games -0.1 · z-score −0.85 · 19th percentile1.5 projected points80% range 0.0 to 6.0
  96. 96British BrooksHOUvs DALOn injured reserve (weekly roster, week 4)Our model 1.4 · z-score −0.85 · 18th percentile1.4 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.9
  97. 97Isaiah DavisNYJvs CHIOur model 1.4 · z-score −0.87 · 17th percentile1.4 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.8
  98. 98DJ HermanMIAvs MINOur model 1.1 · Last 4 games 1.8 · z-score −0.89 · 16th percentile1.3 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.7
  99. 99Tahj BrooksCINvs JAXOur model 1.3 · z-score −0.89 · 15th percentile1.3 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.7
  100. 100LeQuint Allen Jr.JAXvs CINOur model 1.5 · Last 4 games 0.5 · z-score −0.90 · 15th percentile1.2 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.7
  101. 101Roschon JohnsonCHIvs NYJOur model 1.2 · z-score −0.91 · 14th percentile1.2 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.7
  102. 102Anthony Tyus IIICARvs DETOur model 1.1 · z-score −0.92 · 13th percentile1.1 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.7
  103. 103Dean ConnorsLAvs PHIOur model 1.1 · z-score −0.93 · 12th percentile1.1 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.7
  104. 104Hunter LuepkeDALvs HOUOur model 1.3 · Last 4 games 0.4 · z-score −0.93 · 11th percentile1.1 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.7
  105. 105Reggie GilliamNEvs BUFQuestionable (knee) on the week 4 official injury report; limitedOur model 1.2 · Last 4 games 0.4 · z-score −0.95 · 10th percentile1.0 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.7
  106. 106Eli HeidenreichPITvs CLEOur model 1.0 · z-score −0.96 · 9th percentile1.0 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.7
  107. 107Lew Nichols IIIPITvs CLEOur model 1.2 · Last 4 games 0.0 · z-score −0.97 · 9th percentile0.9 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.7
  108. 108Andrew BeckNYJvs CHIOur model 0.8 · z-score −0.99 · 8th percentile0.8 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.7
  109. 109Adam PrenticeDENvs SFOur model 0.8 · z-score −0.99 · 7th percentile0.8 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.7
  110. 110Patrick RicardNYGvs ARIOur model 1.0 · Last 4 games 0.0 · z-score −0.99 · 5th percentile0.8 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.7
  111. 111Jacob SaylorsDETvs CAROur model 0.8 · z-score −0.99 · 5th percentile0.8 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.7
  112. 112Rasheen AliBALvs TENOur model 0.7 · z-score −1.01 · 4th percentile0.7 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.7
  113. 113Max BredesonMINvs MIAOur model 0.7 · z-score −1.02 · 3rd percentile0.7 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.7
  114. 114Travis HomerPITvs CLEOur model 0.6 · Last 4 games 0.8 · z-score −1.03 · 3rd percentile0.7 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.7
  115. 115Dylan LaubeLVvs KCOur model 0.6 · z-score −1.05 · 2nd percentile0.6 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.7
  116. 116Julius ChestnutTENvs BALOur model 0.5 · z-score −1.06 · 1st percentile0.5 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.7
  117. 117Ben VanSumerenKCvs LVOur model 0.5 · z-score −1.07 · 0th percentile0.5 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.7

Status is week 4’s official injury report (Out, Doubtful, Questionable) or a reserve list from the weekly rosters (IR, PUP). Facts only: a status never moves a player or changes his points.

Week 4 is graded: see its grade on the track record.

Every position in week 6 · Rest-of-season RB rankings · Rankings and the draft board