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Week 4 fantasy RB rankings (Half PPR)

Every RB’s projected points for week 4 in Half PPR scoring, in the order we pinned them before the first kickoff. Points come first; the Advanced switch adds our model’s number, the last 4 games average, and each player’s z-score and percentile among running backs.

This is week 4 as it was pinned. The current week is week 6.

QBRBWRTEKDEFPPRHalf PPRStandard

The pinned projections, a blend of our model and each player’s last four games · Built Tue, Sep 29, and saved before the first kickoff · fingerprint 2faf7023: the code that proves these numbers haven’t changed since they were saved

RB · Half PPR · points
  1. 1Jahmyr GibbsDETvs CAROur model 20.3 · Last 4 games 29.8 · z-score +3.34 · 99th percentile22.5 projected points80% range 9.5 to 39.0
  2. 2Bijan RobinsonATLvs NOOur model 18.7 · Last 4 games 23.7 · z-score +2.80 · 98th percentile19.9 projected points80% range 8.1 to 34.6
  3. 3Derrick HenryBALvs TENOur model 16.7 · Last 4 games 24.1 · z-score +2.52 · 97th percentile18.4 projected points80% range 7.3 to 32.3
  4. 4Jonathan TaylorINDvs WASOur model 17.5 · Last 4 games 19.7 · z-score +2.43 · 97th percentile18.0 projected points80% range 7.1 to 31.6
  5. 5Kenneth Walker IIIKCvs LVOur model 15.4 · Last 4 games 24.6 · z-score +2.35 · 96th percentile17.6 projected points80% range 6.8 to 30.9
  6. 6Christian McCaffreySFvs DENOur model 17.3 · Last 4 games 17.2 · z-score +2.27 · 95th percentile17.2 projected points80% range 6.6 to 30.3
  7. 7Ashton JeantyLVvs KCOur model 17.0 · Last 4 games 16.3 · z-score +2.19 · 94th percentile16.8 projected points80% range 6.4 to 29.6
  8. 8James CookBUFvs NEOur model 16.2 · Last 4 games 16.1 · z-score +2.07 · 93rd percentile16.2 projected points80% range 6.0 to 28.6
  9. 9Kyren WilliamsLAvs PHIOur model 13.1 · Last 4 games 15.8 · z-score +1.57 · 92nd percentile13.8 projected points80% range 4.7 to 24.5
  10. 10D'Andre SwiftCHIvs NYJOur model 12.3 · Last 4 games 17.4 · z-score +1.52 · 92nd percentile13.5 projected points80% range 4.6 to 24.1
  11. 11Chase BrownCINvs JAXOur model 13.9 · Last 4 games 11.3 · z-score +1.48 · 91st percentile13.3 projected points80% range 4.5 to 23.7
  12. 12Javonte WilliamsDALvs HOUOur model 12.5 · Last 4 games 15.2 · z-score +1.45 · 90th percentile13.1 projected points80% range 4.4 to 23.5
  13. 13Jeremiyah LoveARIvs NYGOur model 13.1 · Last 4 games 12.5 · z-score +1.41 · 89th percentile12.9 projected points80% range 4.3 to 23.2
  14. 14Cam SkatteboNYGvs ARIOur model 13.3 · Last 4 games 11.0 · z-score +1.37 · 88th percentile12.7 projected points80% range 4.1 to 22.9
  15. 15Aaron JonesMINvs MIAOur model 12.8 · Last 4 games 10.7 · z-score +1.28 · 87th percentile12.3 projected points80% range 3.8 to 22.3
  16. 16Breece HallNYJvs CHIOut (quadricep) on the week 4 official injury report; dnpOur model 11.7 · Last 4 games 12.5 · z-score +1.20 · 86th percentile11.9 projected points80% range 3.5 to 21.7
  17. 17Bucky IrvingTBvs GBOur model 11.9 · Last 4 games 11.5 · z-score +1.18 · 86th percentile11.8 projected points80% range 3.4 to 21.6
  18. 18Omarion HamptonLACvs SEAOur model 12.3 · Last 4 games 10.1 · z-score +1.17 · 85th percentile11.8 projected points80% range 3.4 to 21.6
  19. 19Chuba HubbardCARvs DETOur model 10.4 · Last 4 games 16.2 · z-score +1.17 · 84th percentile11.8 projected points80% range 3.4 to 21.6
  20. 20David MontgomeryHOUvs DALOur model 10.8 · Last 4 games 12.2 · z-score +1.04 · 83rd percentile11.1 projected points80% range 2.9 to 20.7
  21. 21Travis EtienneNOvs ATLOn injured reserve (weekly roster, week 4)Our model 11.8 · Last 4 games 8.5 · z-score +1.02 · 82nd percentile11.0 projected points80% range 2.8 to 20.6
  22. 22Bhayshul TutenJAXvs CINOur model 10.4 · Last 4 games 12.8 · z-score +1.01 · 81st percentile11.0 projected points80% range 2.8 to 20.5
  23. 23Jaylen WarrenPITvs CLEOur model 10.5 · Last 4 games 11.9 · z-score +0.99 · 80th percentile10.8 projected points80% range 2.7 to 20.3
  24. 24De'Von AchaneMIAvs MINOn injured reserve (weekly roster, week 4)Our model 11.0 · Last 4 games 7.0 · z-score +0.82 · 80th percentile10.0 projected points80% range 2.3 to 18.9
  25. 25Rhamondre StevensonNEvs BUFOur model 10.5 · Last 4 games 6.8 · z-score +0.74 · 79th percentile9.6 projected points80% range 2.1 to 18.2
  26. 26Quinshon JudkinsCLEvs PITOur model 10.3 · Last 4 games 7.4 · z-score +0.74 · 78th percentile9.6 projected points80% range 2.1 to 18.2
  27. 27Saquon BarkleyPHIvs LAOur model 10.4 · Last 4 games 6.5 · z-score +0.71 · 77th percentile9.4 projected points80% range 2.0 to 17.9
  28. 28TreVeyon HendersonNEvs BUFOur model 9.4 · Last 4 games 8.5 · z-score +0.66 · 76th percentile9.2 projected points80% range 1.9 to 17.5
  29. 29Jacory Croskey-MerrittWASvs INDOur model 9.3 · Last 4 games 7.4 · z-score +0.59 · 75th percentile8.8 projected points80% range 1.8 to 17.3
  30. 30Kyle MonangaiCHIvs NYJOur model 8.3 · Last 4 games 9.8 · z-score +0.55 · 74th percentile8.7 projected points80% range 1.7 to 17.2
  31. 31Jadarian PriceSEAvs LACOut (chest) on the week 4 official injury report; dnpOur model 9.9 · Last 4 games 4.0 · z-score +0.52 · 74th percentile8.5 projected points80% range 1.6 to 17.2
  32. 32Tony PollardTENvs BALOur model 8.5 · Last 4 games 7.5 · z-score +0.47 · 73rd percentile8.3 projected points80% range 1.5 to 17.1
  33. 33RJ HarveyDENvs SFOur model 8.3 · Last 4 games 6.9 · z-score +0.40 · 72nd percentile7.9 projected points80% range 1.3 to 17.0
  34. 34Rachaad WhiteWASvs INDOut (shoulder) on the week 4 official injury report; dnpOur model 7.7 · Last 4 games 8.5 · z-score +0.39 · 71st percentile7.9 projected points80% range 1.3 to 17.0
  35. 35J.K. DobbinsDENvs SFOur model 8.5 · Last 4 games 4.3 · z-score +0.32 · 70th percentile7.5 projected points80% range 1.1 to 16.6
  36. 36Woody MarksHOUvs DALOur model 7.8 · Last 4 games 6.4 · z-score +0.32 · 69th percentile7.5 projected points80% range 1.1 to 16.6
  37. 37Alvin KamaraNOvs ATLOur model 8.3 · Last 4 games 4.7 · z-score +0.30 · 68th percentile7.4 projected points80% range 1.1 to 16.4
  38. 38Blake CorumLAvs PHIOur model 7.3 · Last 4 games 5.9 · z-score +0.20 · 68th percentile6.9 projected points80% range 1.0 to 15.5
  39. 39MarShawn LloydGBvs TBOur model 7.5 · Last 4 games 4.7 · z-score +0.19 · 67th percentile6.9 projected points80% range 1.0 to 15.4
  40. 40Ty JohnsonBUFvs NEOur model 6.7 · Last 4 games 7.0 · z-score +0.17 · 66th percentile6.8 projected points80% range 0.9 to 15.2
  41. 41Ollie Gordon IIMIAvs MINOur model 6.7 · Last 4 games 6.8 · z-score +0.16 · 65th percentile6.7 projected points80% range 0.9 to 15.1
  42. 42Brian RobinsonATLvs NOOur model 6.3 · Last 4 games 7.3 · z-score +0.12 · 64th percentile6.5 projected points80% range 0.9 to 14.7
  43. 43Tyler AllgeierARIvs NYGOur model 6.7 · Last 4 games 4.6 · z-score +0.05 · 63rd percentile6.2 projected points80% range 0.8 to 14.2
  44. 44Emanuel WilsonSEAvs LACOur model 6.5 · Last 4 games 3.6 · z-score −0.02 · 62nd percentile5.8 projected points80% range 0.6 to 13.7
  45. 45Rico DowdlePITvs CLEOut (toe) on the week 4 official injury report; dnpOur model 6.2 · Last 4 games 4.3 · z-score −0.03 · 62nd percentile5.8 projected points80% range 0.6 to 13.6
  46. 46Kaelon BlackSFvs DENOur model 6.0 · Last 4 games 3.9 · z-score −0.08 · 61st percentile5.5 projected points80% range 0.5 to 13.3
  47. 47Emmett JohnsonKCvs LVOur model 5.7 · Last 4 games 4.7 · z-score −0.09 · 60th percentile5.5 projected points80% range 0.5 to 13.2
  48. 48Keaton MitchellLACvs SEAOur model 5.3 · Last 4 games 5.8 · z-score −0.11 · 59th percentile5.4 projected points80% range 0.5 to 13.1
  49. 49Devin SingletaryNYGvs ARIOur model 5.1 · Last 4 games 6.3 · z-score −0.11 · 58th percentile5.4 projected points80% range 0.5 to 13.0
  50. 50Braelon AllenNYJvs CHIOur model 5.5 · Last 4 games 5.1 · z-score −0.11 · 57th percentile5.4 projected points80% range 0.5 to 13.0
  51. 51Kendre MillerNOvs ATLOur model 5.1 · Last 4 games 6.0 · z-score −0.12 · 56th percentile5.3 projected points80% range 0.5 to 13.0
  52. 52Tyjae SpearsTENvs BALQuestionable (ankle) on the week 4 official injury report; fullOur model 5.4 · Last 4 games 4.0 · z-score −0.17 · 56th percentile5.1 projected points80% range 0.3 to 12.6
  53. 53Mike Washington Jr.LVvs KCOur model 4.8 · Last 4 games 5.4 · z-score −0.20 · 55th percentile5.0 projected points80% range 0.3 to 12.4
  54. 54Samaje PerineCINvs JAXOur model 5.3 · Last 4 games 3.7 · z-score −0.20 · 54th percentile4.9 projected points80% range 0.3 to 12.4
  55. 55Chris Rodriguez Jr.JAXvs CINOur model 5.0 · Last 4 games 4.4 · z-score −0.21 · 53rd percentile4.9 projected points80% range 0.3 to 12.3
  56. 56Justice HillBALvs TENOur model 5.2 · Last 4 games 3.1 · z-score −0.25 · 52nd percentile4.7 projected points80% range 0.3 to 12.0
  57. 57George HolaniSEAvs LACOur model 4.8 · Last 4 games 4.4 · z-score −0.25 · 51st percentile4.7 projected points80% range 0.3 to 12.0
  58. 58Raheim SandersCLEvs PITOur model 4.5 · Last 4 games 4.3 · z-score −0.30 · 50th percentile4.5 projected points80% range 0.3 to 11.6
  59. 59Kenny GainwellTBvs GBOur model 4.9 · Last 4 games 2.4 · z-score −0.32 · 49th percentile4.3 projected points80% range 0.3 to 11.4
  60. 60Michael CarterTENvs BALOur model 4.3 · z-score −0.32 · 49th percentile4.3 projected points80% range 0.3 to 11.4
  61. 61Tank BigsbyPHIvs LAOur model 4.6 · Last 4 games 3.4 · z-score −0.32 · 48th percentile4.3 projected points80% range 0.3 to 11.4
  62. 62Chris BrooksGBvs TBOur model 4.5 · Last 4 games 2.3 · z-score −0.40 · 47th percentile4.0 projected points80% range 0.3 to 10.8
  63. 63Najee HarrisNYGvs ARIOur model 4.2 · Last 4 games 2.9 · z-score −0.40 · 46th percentile3.9 projected points80% range 0.3 to 10.8
  64. 64Kaleb JohnsonGBvs TBOur model 4.2 · Last 4 games 2.6 · z-score −0.42 · 45th percentile3.9 projected points80% range 0.3 to 10.7
  65. 65Ameer AbdullahJAXvs CINOur model 3.7 · Last 4 games 1.9 · z-score −0.53 · 44th percentile3.3 projected points80% range 0.2 to 9.6
  66. 66Sione VakiDETvs CAROur model 3.3 · Last 4 games 3.0 · z-score −0.55 · 44th percentile3.2 projected points80% range 0.2 to 9.4
  67. 67D.GiddensINDvs WASOur model 3.1 · z-score −0.56 · 43rd percentile3.1 projected points80% range 0.2 to 9.3
  68. 68Kaytron AllenWASvs INDOur model 3.4 · Last 4 games 2.0 · z-score −0.57 · 42nd percentile3.1 projected points80% range 0.2 to 9.1
  69. 69Corey KinerNEvs BUFOur model 3.5 · Last 4 games 1.4 · z-score −0.59 · 41st percentile3.0 projected points80% range 0.2 to 9.0
  70. 70AJ DillonCARvs DETOur model 3.4 · Last 4 games 1.5 · z-score −0.59 · 40th percentile3.0 projected points80% range 0.1 to 8.9
  71. 71Bam KnightARIvs NYGOur model 3.1 · Last 4 games 2.4 · z-score −0.60 · 39th percentile3.0 projected points80% range 0.1 to 8.9
  72. 72Tyler BadieDENvs SFOur model 3.0 · Last 4 games 2.9 · z-score −0.60 · 39th percentile3.0 projected points80% range 0.1 to 8.9
  73. 73Will ShipleyPHIvs LAOur model 3.0 · Last 4 games 2.4 · z-score −0.61 · 38th percentile2.9 projected points80% range 0.1 to 8.8
  74. 74Ray DavisBUFvs NEQuestionable (hamstring) on the week 4 official injury report; limitedOur model 3.5 · Last 4 games 0.3 · z-score −0.64 · 37th percentile2.8 projected points80% range 0.1 to 8.5
  75. 75Kimani VidalLACvs SEAOur model 2.9 · Last 4 games 2.5 · z-score −0.64 · 36th percentile2.8 projected points80% range 0.1 to 8.5
  76. 76Jordan JamesSFvs DENOur model 3.0 · Last 4 games 1.5 · z-score −0.66 · 35th percentile2.6 projected points80% range 0.1 to 8.3
  77. 77Sean TuckerTBvs GBOur model 2.5 · z-score −0.68 · 34th percentile2.5 projected points80% range 0.1 to 8.1
  78. 78Tyler GoodsonDALvs HOUOur model 2.6 · Last 4 games 2.2 · z-score −0.69 · 33rd percentile2.5 projected points80% range 0.1 to 8.0
  79. 79Kyle JuszczykSFvs DENOur model 2.5 · z-score −0.69 · 33rd percentile2.5 projected points80% range 0.1 to 8.0
  80. 80Michael BurtonCLEvs PITOur model 2.5 · z-score −0.69 · 32nd percentile2.5 projected points80% range 0.1 to 7.9
  81. 81Jaleel McLaughlinCLEvs PITOur model 3.1 · Last 4 games 0.3 · z-score −0.70 · 31st percentile2.4 projected points80% range 0.1 to 7.8
  82. 82Jaylen WrightMIAvs MINOur model 2.9 · Last 4 games 0.5 · z-score −0.72 · 30th percentile2.3 projected points80% range 0.1 to 7.7
  83. 83Brashard SmithKCvs LVOur model 2.8 · Last 4 games 0.9 · z-score −0.73 · 29th percentile2.3 projected points80% range 0.1 to 7.6
  84. 84Brady RussellSEAvs LACOur model 2.2 · Last 4 games 2.8 · z-score −0.73 · 28th percentile2.3 projected points80% range 0.1 to 7.6
  85. 85Emari DemercadoDALvs HOUOur model 2.8 · Last 4 games 0.8 · z-score −0.73 · 27th percentile2.3 projected points80% range 0.1 to 7.6
  86. 86Alec IngoldLACvs SEAOur model 2.2 · z-score −0.74 · 27th percentile2.2 projected points80% range 0.1 to 7.5
  87. 87Seth McGowanINDvs WASOur model 2.6 · Last 4 games 0.6 · z-score −0.76 · 26th percentile2.2 projected points80% range 0.1 to 7.3
  88. 88Kene NwangwuNYJvs CHIOur model 2.2 · z-score −0.76 · 24th percentile2.2 projected points80% range 0.1 to 7.3
  89. 89Riley NowakowskiPITvs CLEOur model 2.2 · z-score −0.76 · 24th percentile2.2 projected points80% range 0.1 to 7.3
  90. 90Nicholas SingletonTENvs BALOur model 2.5 · Last 4 games 1.0 · z-score −0.76 · 23rd percentile2.1 projected points80% range 0.1 to 7.3
  91. 91DeeJay DallasMINvs MIAOur model 2.2 · Last 4 games 1.1 · z-score −0.80 · 22nd percentile2.0 projected points80% range 0.0 to 7.0
  92. 92Demond ClaiborneMINvs MIAOur model 2.3 · Last 4 games 0.4 · z-score −0.82 · 21st percentile1.8 projected points80% range 0.0 to 6.7
  93. 93Tyrone Tracy Jr.NYGvs ARIOur model 2.3 · Last 4 games -0.1 · z-score −0.84 · 21st percentile1.7 projected points80% range 0.0 to 6.5
  94. 94CJ DonaldsonNOvs ATLOur model 2.1 · Last 4 games 0.5 · z-score −0.85 · 20th percentile1.7 projected points80% range 0.0 to 6.5
  95. 95DJ HermanMIAvs MINOur model 1.5 · Last 4 games 2.3 · z-score −0.85 · 19th percentile1.7 projected points80% range 0.0 to 6.5
  96. 96Velus JonesSEAvs LACOur model 1.7 · z-score −0.86 · 18th percentile1.7 projected points80% range 0.0 to 6.4
  97. 97Isaiah DavisNYJvs CHIOur model 1.6 · z-score −0.88 · 16th percentile1.6 projected points80% range 0.0 to 6.2
  98. 98LeQuint Allen Jr.JAXvs CINOur model 1.8 · Last 4 games 0.9 · z-score −0.88 · 16th percentile1.6 projected points80% range 0.0 to 6.2
  99. 99British BrooksHOUvs DALOn injured reserve (weekly roster, week 4)Our model 1.5 · z-score −0.88 · 15th percentile1.5 projected points80% range 0.0 to 6.2
  100. 100Reggie GilliamNEvs BUFQuestionable (knee) on the week 4 official injury report; limitedOur model 1.6 · Last 4 games 0.9 · z-score −0.91 · 15th percentile1.4 projected points80% range 0.0 to 6.2
  101. 101Tahj BrooksCINvs JAXOur model 1.4 · z-score −0.92 · 14th percentile1.4 projected points80% range 0.0 to 6.2
  102. 102Roschon JohnsonCHIvs NYJOur model 1.3 · z-score −0.93 · 13th percentile1.3 projected points80% range 0.0 to 6.2
  103. 103Hunter LuepkeDALvs HOUOur model 1.6 · Last 4 games 0.4 · z-score −0.94 · 12th percentile1.3 projected points80% range 0.0 to 6.2
  104. 104Anthony Tyus IIICARvs DETOur model 1.3 · z-score −0.94 · 11th percentile1.3 projected points80% range 0.0 to 6.2
  105. 105Dean ConnorsLAvs PHIOur model 1.2 · z-score −0.95 · 10th percentile1.2 projected points80% range 0.0 to 6.2
  106. 106Andrew BeckNYJvs CHIOur model 1.1 · z-score −0.96 · 9th percentile1.1 projected points80% range 0.0 to 6.2
  107. 107Eli HeidenreichPITvs CLEOur model 1.1 · z-score −0.98 · 9th percentile1.1 projected points80% range 0.0 to 6.2
  108. 108Adam PrenticeDENvs SFOur model 1.0 · z-score −0.99 · 7th percentile1.0 projected points80% range 0.0 to 6.2
  109. 109Lew Nichols IIIPITvs CLEOur model 1.3 · Last 4 games 0.0 · z-score −0.99 · 7th percentile1.0 projected points80% range 0.0 to 6.2
  110. 110Patrick RicardNYGvs ARIOur model 1.3 · Last 4 games 0.0 · z-score −0.99 · 6th percentile1.0 projected points80% range 0.0 to 6.2
  111. 111Jacob SaylorsDETvs CAROur model 0.8 · z-score −1.02 · 5th percentile0.8 projected points80% range 0.0 to 6.2
  112. 112Rasheen AliBALvs TENOur model 0.8 · z-score −1.03 · 4th percentile0.8 projected points80% range 0.0 to 6.2
  113. 113Max BredesonMINvs MIAOur model 0.8 · z-score −1.03 · 3rd percentile0.8 projected points80% range 0.0 to 6.2
  114. 114Travis HomerPITvs CLEOur model 0.7 · Last 4 games 0.8 · z-score −1.05 · 3rd percentile0.7 projected points80% range 0.0 to 6.2
  115. 115Dylan LaubeLVvs KCOur model 0.6 · z-score −1.07 · 2nd percentile0.6 projected points80% range 0.0 to 6.2
  116. 116Julius ChestnutTENvs BALOur model 0.6 · z-score −1.08 · 1st percentile0.6 projected points80% range 0.0 to 6.2
  117. 117Ben VanSumerenKCvs LVOur model 0.5 · z-score −1.09 · 0th percentile0.5 projected points80% range 0.0 to 6.2

Status is week 4’s official injury report (Out, Doubtful, Questionable) or a reserve list from the weekly rosters (IR, PUP). Facts only: a status never moves a player or changes his points.

Week 4 is graded: see its grade on the track record.

Every position in week 6 · Rest-of-season RB rankings · Rankings and the draft board