Week 4 fantasy defense rankings
Every defense’s projected points for week 4, the same in PPR, Half PPR and Standard, in the order we pinned them before the first kickoff. Points come first; the Advanced switch adds our model’s number, the last 4 games average, and each player’s z-score and percentile among defenses.
This is week 4 as it was pinned. The current week is week 6.
The pinned projections from our weekly K/DEF model: the team’s implied points scored and allowed from the betting line, plus its last four games · Built Tue, Sep 29, and saved before the first kickoff · fingerprint 05fc8eb1: the code that proves these numbers haven’t changed since they were saved
Defense · every format · points
- 1Minnesota VikingsMINvs MIAOur model 11.3 · Last 4 games 13.3 · z-score +3.22 · 97th percentilevs MIA11.3 projected points
- 2Baltimore RavensBALvs TENOur model 8.8 · Last 4 games 3.7 · z-score +1.66 · 94th percentilevs TEN8.8 projected points
- 3Seattle SeahawksSEAvs LACOur model 8.6 · Last 4 games 7.3 · z-score +1.48 · 91st percentilevs LAC8.6 projected points
- 4Pittsburgh SteelersPITvs CLEOur model 8.5 · Last 4 games 9.7 · z-score +1.43 · 88th percentilevs CLE8.5 projected points
- 5Chicago BearsCHIvs NYJOur model 7.7 · Last 4 games 7.0 · z-score +0.91 · 84th percentilevs NYJ7.7 projected points
- 6Buffalo BillsBUFvs NEOur model 7.2 · Last 4 games 4.7 · z-score +0.63 · 81st percentilevs NE7.2 projected points
- 7Kansas City ChiefsKCvs LVOur model 7.2 · Last 4 games 7.0 · z-score +0.61 · 78th percentilevs LV7.2 projected points
- 8Green Bay PackersGBvs TBOur model 7.0 · Last 4 games 1.3 · z-score +0.53 · 75th percentilevs TB7.0 projected points
- 9Los Angeles RamsLAvs PHIOur model 7.0 · Last 4 games 5.0 · z-score +0.52 · 72nd percentilevs PHI7.0 projected points
- 10Cincinnati BengalsCINvs JAXOur model 6.8 · Last 4 games 10.7 · z-score +0.37 · 69th percentilevs JAX6.8 projected points
- 11San Francisco 49ersSFvs DENOur model 6.7 · Last 4 games 5.7 · z-score +0.32 · 66th percentilevs DEN6.7 projected points
- 12Houston TexansHOUvs DALOur model 6.3 · Last 4 games 5.0 · z-score +0.08 · 63rd percentilevs DAL6.3 projected points
- 13Cleveland BrownsCLEvs PITOur model 6.2 · Last 4 games 4.0 · z-score +0.02 · 59th percentilevs PIT6.2 projected points
- 14Detroit LionsDETvs CAROur model 6.1 · Last 4 games 5.0 · z-score −0.04 · 56th percentilevs CAR6.1 projected points
- 15Tampa Bay BuccaneersTBvs GBOur model 6.0 · Last 4 games 5.0 · z-score −0.11 · 53rd percentilevs GB6.0 projected points
- 16Arizona CardinalsARIvs NYGOur model 6.0 · Last 4 games 2.0 · z-score −0.15 · 50th percentilevs NYG6.0 projected points
- 17Indianapolis ColtsINDvs WASOur model 6.0 · Last 4 games 1.7 · z-score −0.15 · 47th percentilevs WAS6.0 projected points
- 18New Orleans SaintsNOvs ATLOur model 5.9 · Last 4 games 3.0 · z-score −0.16 · 44th percentilevs ATL5.9 projected points
- 19Las Vegas RaidersLVvs KCOur model 5.8 · Last 4 games 11.7 · z-score −0.22 · 41st percentilevs KC5.8 projected points
- 20New York GiantsNYGvs ARIOur model 5.8 · Last 4 games 5.0 · z-score −0.26 · 38th percentilevs ARI5.8 projected points
- 21Denver BroncosDENvs SFOur model 5.7 · Last 4 games 8.3 · z-score −0.28 · 34th percentilevs SF5.7 projected points
- 22New York JetsNYJvs CHIOur model 5.6 · Last 4 games 5.3 · z-score −0.35 · 31st percentilevs CHI5.6 projected points
- 23Jacksonville JaguarsJAXvs CINOur model 5.6 · Last 4 games 10.7 · z-score −0.40 · 28th percentilevs CIN5.6 projected points
- 24Carolina PanthersCARvs DETOur model 5.3 · Last 4 games 10.0 · z-score −0.53 · 25th percentilevs DET5.3 projected points
- 25Los Angeles ChargersLACvs SEAOur model 5.0 · Last 4 games 6.3 · z-score −0.76 · 22nd percentilevs SEA5.0 projected points
- 26Philadelphia EaglesPHIvs LAOur model 4.9 · Last 4 games 1.3 · z-score −0.81 · 19th percentilevs LA4.9 projected points
- 27Washington CommandersWASvs INDOur model 4.7 · Last 4 games 4.0 · z-score −0.95 · 16th percentilevs IND4.7 projected points
- 28Atlanta FalconsATLvs NOOur model 4.5 · Last 4 games 3.3 · z-score −1.04 · 9th percentilevs NO4.5 projected points
- 29New England PatriotsNEvs BUFOur model 4.5 · Last 4 games 8.7 · z-score −1.04 · 9th percentilevs BUF4.5 projected points
- 30Dallas CowboysDALvs HOUOur model 4.5 · Last 4 games 1.7 · z-score −1.06 · 6th percentilevs HOU4.5 projected points
- 31Miami DolphinsMIAvs MINOur model 3.4 · Last 4 games 0.7 · z-score −1.73 · 0th percentilevs MIN3.4 projected points
- 32Tennessee TitansTENvs BALOur model 3.4 · Last 4 games 4.7 · z-score −1.73 · 0th percentilevs BAL3.4 projected points
Week 4 is graded: see its grade on the track record.