Week 4 fantasy defense rankings

Every defense’s projected points for week 4, the same in PPR, Half PPR and Standard, in the order we pinned them before the first kickoff. Points come first; the Advanced switch adds our model’s number, the last 4 games average, and each player’s z-score and percentile among defenses.

This is week 4 as it was pinned. The current week is week 6.

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The pinned projections from our weekly K/DEF model: the team’s implied points scored and allowed from the betting line, plus its last four games · Built Tue, Sep 29, and saved before the first kickoff · fingerprint 05fc8eb1: the code that proves these numbers haven’t changed since they were saved

Defense · every format · points
  1. 1Minnesota VikingsMINvs MIAOur model 11.3 · Last 4 games 13.3 · z-score +3.22 · 97th percentile11.3 projected points
  2. 2Baltimore RavensBALvs TENOur model 8.8 · Last 4 games 3.7 · z-score +1.66 · 94th percentile8.8 projected points
  3. 3Seattle SeahawksSEAvs LACOur model 8.6 · Last 4 games 7.3 · z-score +1.48 · 91st percentile8.6 projected points
  4. 4Pittsburgh SteelersPITvs CLEOur model 8.5 · Last 4 games 9.7 · z-score +1.43 · 88th percentile8.5 projected points
  5. 5Chicago BearsCHIvs NYJOur model 7.7 · Last 4 games 7.0 · z-score +0.91 · 84th percentile7.7 projected points
  6. 6Buffalo BillsBUFvs NEOur model 7.2 · Last 4 games 4.7 · z-score +0.63 · 81st percentile7.2 projected points
  7. 7Kansas City ChiefsKCvs LVOur model 7.2 · Last 4 games 7.0 · z-score +0.61 · 78th percentile7.2 projected points
  8. 8Green Bay PackersGBvs TBOur model 7.0 · Last 4 games 1.3 · z-score +0.53 · 75th percentile7.0 projected points
  9. 9Los Angeles RamsLAvs PHIOur model 7.0 · Last 4 games 5.0 · z-score +0.52 · 72nd percentile7.0 projected points
  10. 10Cincinnati BengalsCINvs JAXOur model 6.8 · Last 4 games 10.7 · z-score +0.37 · 69th percentile6.8 projected points
  11. 11San Francisco 49ersSFvs DENOur model 6.7 · Last 4 games 5.7 · z-score +0.32 · 66th percentile6.7 projected points
  12. 12Houston TexansHOUvs DALOur model 6.3 · Last 4 games 5.0 · z-score +0.08 · 63rd percentile6.3 projected points
  13. 13Cleveland BrownsCLEvs PITOur model 6.2 · Last 4 games 4.0 · z-score +0.02 · 59th percentile6.2 projected points
  14. 14Detroit LionsDETvs CAROur model 6.1 · Last 4 games 5.0 · z-score −0.04 · 56th percentile6.1 projected points
  15. 15Tampa Bay BuccaneersTBvs GBOur model 6.0 · Last 4 games 5.0 · z-score −0.11 · 53rd percentile6.0 projected points
  16. 16Arizona CardinalsARIvs NYGOur model 6.0 · Last 4 games 2.0 · z-score −0.15 · 50th percentile6.0 projected points
  17. 17Indianapolis ColtsINDvs WASOur model 6.0 · Last 4 games 1.7 · z-score −0.15 · 47th percentile6.0 projected points
  18. 18New Orleans SaintsNOvs ATLOur model 5.9 · Last 4 games 3.0 · z-score −0.16 · 44th percentile5.9 projected points
  19. 19Las Vegas RaidersLVvs KCOur model 5.8 · Last 4 games 11.7 · z-score −0.22 · 41st percentile5.8 projected points
  20. 20New York GiantsNYGvs ARIOur model 5.8 · Last 4 games 5.0 · z-score −0.26 · 38th percentile5.8 projected points
  21. 21Denver BroncosDENvs SFOur model 5.7 · Last 4 games 8.3 · z-score −0.28 · 34th percentile5.7 projected points
  22. 22New York JetsNYJvs CHIOur model 5.6 · Last 4 games 5.3 · z-score −0.35 · 31st percentile5.6 projected points
  23. 23Jacksonville JaguarsJAXvs CINOur model 5.6 · Last 4 games 10.7 · z-score −0.40 · 28th percentile5.6 projected points
  24. 24Carolina PanthersCARvs DETOur model 5.3 · Last 4 games 10.0 · z-score −0.53 · 25th percentile5.3 projected points
  25. 25Los Angeles ChargersLACvs SEAOur model 5.0 · Last 4 games 6.3 · z-score −0.76 · 22nd percentile5.0 projected points
  26. 26Philadelphia EaglesPHIvs LAOur model 4.9 · Last 4 games 1.3 · z-score −0.81 · 19th percentile4.9 projected points
  27. 27Washington CommandersWASvs INDOur model 4.7 · Last 4 games 4.0 · z-score −0.95 · 16th percentile4.7 projected points
  28. 28Atlanta FalconsATLvs NOOur model 4.5 · Last 4 games 3.3 · z-score −1.04 · 9th percentile4.5 projected points
  29. 29New England PatriotsNEvs BUFOur model 4.5 · Last 4 games 8.7 · z-score −1.04 · 9th percentile4.5 projected points
  30. 30Dallas CowboysDALvs HOUOur model 4.5 · Last 4 games 1.7 · z-score −1.06 · 6th percentile4.5 projected points
  31. 31Miami DolphinsMIAvs MINOur model 3.4 · Last 4 games 0.7 · z-score −1.73 · 0th percentile3.4 projected points
  32. 32Tennessee TitansTENvs BALOur model 3.4 · Last 4 games 4.7 · z-score −1.73 · 0th percentile3.4 projected points

Week 4 is graded: see its grade on the track record.

Every position in week 6 · Rankings and the draft board