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Week 4 fantasy RB rankings (PPR)

Every RB’s projected points for week 4 in PPR scoring, in the order we pinned them before the first kickoff. Points come first; the Advanced switch adds our model’s number, the last 4 games average, and each player’s z-score and percentile among running backs.

This is week 4 as it was pinned. The current week is week 6.

QBRBWRTEKDEFPPRHalf PPRStandard

The pinned projections, a blend of our model and each player’s last four games · Built Tue, Sep 29, and saved before the first kickoff · fingerprint 05fc8eb1: the code that proves these numbers haven’t changed since they were saved

RB · PPR · points
  1. 1Jahmyr GibbsDETvs CAROur model 23.2 · Last 4 games 32.8 · z-score +3.45 · 99th percentile25.5 projected points80% range 12.1 to 42.4
  2. 2Bijan RobinsonATLvs NOOur model 20.8 · Last 4 games 25.9 · z-score +2.82 · 98th percentile22.0 projected points80% range 9.9 to 37.1
  3. 3Christian McCaffreySFvs DENOur model 19.6 · Last 4 games 19.3 · z-score +2.36 · 97th percentile19.5 projected points80% range 8.3 to 33.3
  4. 4Jonathan TaylorINDvs WASOur model 18.8 · Last 4 games 21.2 · z-score +2.32 · 97th percentile19.3 projected points80% range 8.2 to 32.9
  5. 5Kenneth Walker IIIKCvs LVOur model 17.1 · Last 4 games 26.4 · z-score +2.32 · 96th percentile19.3 projected points80% range 8.1 to 32.9
  6. 6Derrick HenryBALvs TENOur model 17.4 · Last 4 games 25.0 · z-score +2.30 · 95th percentile19.2 projected points80% range 8.1 to 32.8
  7. 7Ashton JeantyLVvs KCOur model 19.1 · Last 4 games 18.4 · z-score +2.26 · 94th percentile19.0 projected points80% range 7.9 to 32.4
  8. 8James CookBUFvs NEOur model 17.3 · Last 4 games 16.7 · z-score +1.94 · 93rd percentile17.2 projected points80% range 6.8 to 29.7
  9. 9Kyren WilliamsLAvs PHIOur model 14.5 · Last 4 games 17.7 · z-score +1.59 · 92nd percentile15.3 projected points80% range 5.5 to 26.7
  10. 10Chase BrownCINvs JAXOur model 15.6 · Last 4 games 13.0 · z-score +1.53 · 92nd percentile14.9 projected points80% range 5.3 to 26.2
  11. 11D'Andre SwiftCHIvs NYJOur model 13.6 · Last 4 games 18.7 · z-score +1.50 · 91st percentile14.8 projected points80% range 5.2 to 25.9
  12. 12Javonte WilliamsDALvs HOUOur model 13.9 · Last 4 games 16.8 · z-score +1.47 · 90th percentile14.6 projected points80% range 5.1 to 25.7
  13. 13Jeremiyah LoveARIvs NYGOur model 14.4 · Last 4 games 14.1 · z-score +1.41 · 89th percentile14.3 projected points80% range 4.9 to 25.2
  14. 14Cam SkatteboNYGvs ARIOur model 14.8 · Last 4 games 12.2 · z-score +1.38 · 88th percentile14.2 projected points80% range 4.8 to 25.0
  15. 15Bucky IrvingTBvs GBOur model 13.3 · Last 4 games 13.7 · z-score +1.24 · 87th percentile13.4 projected points80% range 4.3 to 23.9
  16. 16Breece HallNYJvs CHIOut (quadricep) on the week 4 official injury report; dnpOur model 13.1 · Last 4 games 14.2 · z-score +1.23 · 86th percentile13.3 projected points80% range 4.2 to 23.8
  17. 17Aaron JonesMINvs MIAOur model 13.8 · Last 4 games 11.6 · z-score +1.22 · 86th percentile13.3 projected points80% range 4.2 to 23.8
  18. 18Chuba HubbardCARvs DETOur model 11.6 · Last 4 games 17.7 · z-score +1.18 · 85th percentile13.1 projected points80% range 4.0 to 23.5
  19. 19Omarion HamptonLACvs SEAOur model 13.3 · Last 4 games 10.5 · z-score +1.10 · 84th percentile12.6 projected points80% range 3.7 to 22.9
  20. 20Travis EtienneNOvs ATLOn injured reserve (weekly roster, week 4)Our model 13.0 · Last 4 games 10.3 · z-score +1.06 · 83rd percentile12.4 projected points80% range 3.5 to 22.6
  21. 21Jaylen WarrenPITvs CLEOur model 11.9 · Last 4 games 13.5 · z-score +1.04 · 82nd percentile12.3 projected points80% range 3.5 to 22.5
  22. 22David MontgomeryHOUvs DALOur model 11.6 · Last 4 games 13.4 · z-score +0.99 · 81st percentile12.0 projected points80% range 3.3 to 22.1
  23. 23Bhayshul TutenJAXvs CINOur model 11.4 · Last 4 games 13.7 · z-score +0.97 · 80th percentile11.9 projected points80% range 3.2 to 21.9
  24. 24De'Von AchaneMIAvs MINOn injured reserve (weekly roster, week 4)Our model 12.6 · Last 4 games 8.2 · z-score +0.90 · 80th percentile11.5 projected points80% range 3.0 to 21.3
  25. 25Rhamondre StevensonNEvs BUFOur model 11.8 · Last 4 games 8.3 · z-score +0.79 · 79th percentile10.9 projected points80% range 2.6 to 20.3
  26. 26Quinshon JudkinsCLEvs PITOur model 11.6 · Last 4 games 8.9 · z-score +0.79 · 78th percentile10.9 projected points80% range 2.6 to 20.3
  27. 27Saquon BarkleyPHIvs LAOur model 11.3 · Last 4 games 7.0 · z-score +0.66 · 77th percentile10.2 projected points80% range 2.2 to 19.1
  28. 28TreVeyon HendersonNEvs BUFOur model 10.2 · Last 4 games 8.8 · z-score +0.59 · 76th percentile9.8 projected points80% range 2.0 to 18.9
  29. 29RJ HarveyDENvs SFOur model 9.7 · Last 4 games 9.4 · z-score +0.55 · 75th percentile9.6 projected points80% range 1.9 to 18.9
  30. 30Kyle MonangaiCHIvs NYJOur model 9.2 · Last 4 games 10.4 · z-score +0.53 · 74th percentile9.5 projected points80% range 1.9 to 18.8
  31. 31Jacory Croskey-MerrittWASvs INDOur model 9.8 · Last 4 games 7.9 · z-score +0.50 · 74th percentile9.4 projected points80% range 1.8 to 18.8
  32. 32Jadarian PriceSEAvs LACOut (chest) on the week 4 official injury report; dnpOur model 10.8 · Last 4 games 4.7 · z-score +0.50 · 73rd percentile9.3 projected points80% range 1.8 to 18.8
  33. 33Tony PollardTENvs BALOur model 9.4 · Last 4 games 8.5 · z-score +0.47 · 72nd percentile9.2 projected points80% range 1.8 to 18.7
  34. 34Rachaad WhiteWASvs INDOut (shoulder) on the week 4 official injury report; dnpOur model 8.8 · Last 4 games 10.0 · z-score +0.46 · 71st percentile9.1 projected points80% range 1.7 to 18.7
  35. 35Woody MarksHOUvs DALOur model 8.8 · Last 4 games 7.5 · z-score +0.34 · 70th percentile8.5 projected points80% range 1.5 to 18.4
  36. 36Alvin KamaraNOvs ATLOur model 9.1 · Last 4 games 6.2 · z-score +0.33 · 69th percentile8.4 projected points80% range 1.4 to 18.2
  37. 37Ty JohnsonBUFvs NEOur model 7.8 · Last 4 games 9.0 · z-score +0.28 · 68th percentile8.1 projected points80% range 1.3 to 17.7
  38. 38J.K. DobbinsDENvs SFOur model 9.0 · Last 4 games 4.5 · z-score +0.25 · 68th percentile8.0 projected points80% range 1.3 to 17.4
  39. 39Blake CorumLAvs PHIOur model 7.9 · Last 4 games 6.4 · z-score +0.17 · 66th percentile7.5 projected points80% range 1.1 to 16.5
  40. 40MarShawn LloydGBvs TBOur model 8.2 · Last 4 games 5.4 · z-score +0.17 · 66th percentile7.5 projected points80% range 1.1 to 16.5
  41. 41Ollie Gordon IIMIAvs MINOur model 7.3 · Last 4 games 7.6 · z-score +0.15 · 65th percentile7.4 projected points80% range 1.0 to 16.3
  42. 42Brian RobinsonATLvs NOOur model 6.9 · Last 4 games 7.6 · z-score +0.08 · 64th percentile7.0 projected points80% range 0.9 to 15.6
  43. 43Tyler AllgeierARIvs NYGOur model 7.3 · Last 4 games 5.9 · z-score +0.06 · 63rd percentile6.9 projected points80% range 0.9 to 15.5
  44. 44Rico DowdlePITvs CLEOut (toe) on the week 4 official injury report; dnpOur model 7.1 · Last 4 games 5.3 · z-score +0.02 · 62nd percentile6.7 projected points80% range 0.8 to 15.2
  45. 45Emmett JohnsonKCvs LVOur model 6.5 · Last 4 games 5.3 · z-score −0.07 · 62nd percentile6.2 projected points80% range 0.6 to 14.6
  46. 46Devin SingletaryNYGvs ARIOur model 5.8 · Last 4 games 7.3 · z-score −0.08 · 61st percentile6.2 projected points80% range 0.6 to 14.6
  47. 47Emanuel WilsonSEAvs LACOur model 6.9 · Last 4 games 3.6 · z-score −0.09 · 60th percentile6.1 projected points80% range 0.6 to 14.5
  48. 48Keaton MitchellLACvs SEAOur model 6.0 · Last 4 games 6.5 · z-score −0.10 · 59th percentile6.1 projected points80% range 0.6 to 14.4
  49. 49Tyjae SpearsTENvs BALQuestionable (ankle) on the week 4 official injury report; fullOur model 6.5 · Last 4 games 4.6 · z-score −0.11 · 57th percentile6.0 projected points80% range 0.6 to 14.4
  50. 50Braelon AllenNYJvs CHIOur model 6.1 · Last 4 games 5.7 · z-score −0.11 · 57th percentile6.0 projected points80% range 0.6 to 14.4
  51. 51Kaelon BlackSFvs DENOur model 6.6 · Last 4 games 4.1 · z-score −0.11 · 56th percentile6.0 projected points80% range 0.5 to 14.3
  52. 52Samaje PerineCINvs JAXOur model 6.3 · Last 4 games 4.5 · z-score −0.12 · 56th percentile5.9 projected points80% range 0.5 to 14.2
  53. 53Kendre MillerNOvs ATLOur model 5.7 · Last 4 games 6.5 · z-score −0.14 · 55th percentile5.8 projected points80% range 0.5 to 14.1
  54. 54Raheim SandersCLEvs PITOur model 5.5 · Last 4 games 5.6 · z-score −0.20 · 54th percentile5.5 projected points80% range 0.4 to 13.8
  55. 55George HolaniSEAvs LACOur model 5.3 · Last 4 games 5.4 · z-score −0.23 · 53rd percentile5.3 projected points80% range 0.4 to 13.6
  56. 56Justice HillBALvs TENOur model 5.8 · Last 4 games 3.6 · z-score −0.23 · 52nd percentile5.3 projected points80% range 0.4 to 13.5
  57. 57Mike Washington Jr.LVvs KCOur model 5.3 · Last 4 games 5.4 · z-score −0.24 · 51st percentile5.3 projected points80% range 0.4 to 13.5
  58. 58Kenny GainwellTBvs GBOur model 5.8 · Last 4 games 3.4 · z-score −0.24 · 50th percentile5.3 projected points80% range 0.4 to 13.5
  59. 59Chris Rodriguez Jr.JAXvs CINOur model 5.2 · Last 4 games 4.4 · z-score −0.29 · 50th percentile5.0 projected points80% range 0.4 to 13.2
  60. 60Michael CarterTENvs BALOur model 5.0 · z-score −0.30 · 49th percentile5.0 projected points80% range 0.3 to 13.1
  61. 61Tank BigsbyPHIvs LAOur model 5.0 · Last 4 games 3.9 · z-score −0.34 · 48th percentile4.7 projected points80% range 0.3 to 12.9
  62. 62Chris BrooksGBvs TBOur model 5.0 · Last 4 games 2.6 · z-score −0.40 · 47th percentile4.4 projected points80% range 0.3 to 12.6
  63. 63Kaleb JohnsonGBvs TBOur model 4.8 · Last 4 games 2.9 · z-score −0.42 · 46th percentile4.3 projected points80% range 0.3 to 12.4
  64. 64Najee HarrisNYGvs ARIOur model 4.7 · Last 4 games 2.9 · z-score −0.43 · 45th percentile4.3 projected points80% range 0.3 to 12.4
  65. 65Ameer AbdullahJAXvs CINOur model 4.3 · Last 4 games 2.2 · z-score −0.52 · 44th percentile3.8 projected points80% range 0.2 to 11.1
  66. 66Sione VakiDETvs CAROur model 3.7 · Last 4 games 3.5 · z-score −0.53 · 44th percentile3.7 projected points80% range 0.2 to 10.8
  67. 67Tyler BadieDENvs SFOur model 3.7 · Last 4 games 3.6 · z-score −0.54 · 43rd percentile3.7 projected points80% range 0.2 to 10.8
  68. 68Will ShipleyPHIvs LAOur model 3.5 · Last 4 games 3.1 · z-score −0.58 · 42nd percentile3.4 projected points80% range 0.1 to 10.1
  69. 69D.GiddensINDvs WASOur model 3.3 · z-score −0.60 · 41st percentile3.3 projected points80% range 0.1 to 9.9
  70. 70AJ DillonCARvs DETOur model 3.8 · Last 4 games 1.6 · z-score −0.60 · 39th percentile3.3 projected points80% range 0.1 to 9.8
  71. 71Corey KinerNEvs BUFOur model 3.9 · Last 4 games 1.6 · z-score −0.60 · 39th percentile3.3 projected points80% range 0.1 to 9.8
  72. 72Kaytron AllenWASvs INDOur model 3.7 · Last 4 games 2.0 · z-score −0.61 · 39th percentile3.3 projected points80% range 0.1 to 9.8
  73. 73Kimani VidalLACvs SEAOur model 3.3 · Last 4 games 3.0 · z-score −0.61 · 38th percentile3.2 projected points80% range 0.1 to 9.6
  74. 74Bam KnightARIvs NYGOur model 3.5 · Last 4 games 2.4 · z-score −0.62 · 37th percentile3.2 projected points80% range 0.1 to 9.6
  75. 75Ray DavisBUFvs NEQuestionable (hamstring) on the week 4 official injury report; limitedOur model 3.9 · Last 4 games 0.3 · z-score −0.66 · 36th percentile3.0 projected points80% range 0.1 to 9.1
  76. 76Brady RussellSEAvs LACOur model 2.7 · Last 4 games 3.5 · z-score −0.68 · 35th percentile2.9 projected points80% range 0.1 to 8.8
  77. 77Tyler GoodsonDALvs HOUOur model 2.9 · Last 4 games 2.7 · z-score −0.69 · 34th percentile2.9 projected points80% range 0.1 to 8.8
  78. 78Jordan JamesSFvs DENOur model 3.3 · Last 4 games 1.5 · z-score −0.69 · 33rd percentile2.8 projected points80% range 0.1 to 8.8
  79. 79Kyle JuszczykSFvs DENOur model 2.8 · z-score −0.70 · 33rd percentile2.8 projected points80% range 0.1 to 8.7
  80. 80Jaleel McLaughlinCLEvs PITOur model 3.5 · Last 4 games 0.3 · z-score −0.70 · 32nd percentile2.8 projected points80% range 0.1 to 8.6
  81. 81Michael BurtonCLEvs PITOur model 2.8 · z-score −0.70 · 31st percentile2.8 projected points80% range 0.1 to 8.6
  82. 82Sean TuckerTBvs GBOur model 2.7 · z-score −0.71 · 30th percentile2.7 projected points80% range 0.1 to 8.6
  83. 83Brashard SmithKCvs LVOur model 3.1 · Last 4 games 1.4 · z-score −0.71 · 29th percentile2.7 projected points80% range 0.1 to 8.5
  84. 84Emari DemercadoDALvs HOUOur model 3.1 · Last 4 games 0.8 · z-score −0.74 · 28th percentile2.6 projected points80% range 0.1 to 8.2
  85. 85Jaylen WrightMIAvs MINOur model 3.2 · Last 4 games 0.5 · z-score −0.74 · 27th percentile2.6 projected points80% range 0.1 to 8.2
  86. 86Alec IngoldLACvs SEAOur model 2.5 · z-score −0.76 · 27th percentile2.5 projected points80% range 0.1 to 8.0
  87. 87Riley NowakowskiPITvs CLEOur model 2.4 · z-score −0.76 · 26th percentile2.4 projected points80% range 0.1 to 7.9
  88. 88Seth McGowanINDvs WASOur model 2.9 · Last 4 games 0.8 · z-score −0.77 · 25th percentile2.4 projected points80% range 0.0 to 7.8
  89. 89Kene NwangwuNYJvs CHIOur model 2.4 · z-score −0.77 · 24th percentile2.4 projected points80% range 0.0 to 7.8
  90. 90Nicholas SingletonTENvs BALOur model 2.8 · Last 4 games 1.0 · z-score −0.78 · 23rd percentile2.4 projected points80% range 0.0 to 7.8
  91. 91DeeJay DallasMINvs MIAOur model 2.6 · Last 4 games 1.4 · z-score −0.79 · 22nd percentile2.3 projected points80% range 0.0 to 7.7
  92. 92DJ HermanMIAvs MINOur model 1.9 · Last 4 games 2.8 · z-score −0.81 · 21st percentile2.1 projected points80% range 0.0 to 7.4
  93. 93Demond ClaiborneMINvs MIAOur model 2.5 · Last 4 games 0.7 · z-score −0.82 · 21st percentile2.1 projected points80% range 0.0 to 7.2
  94. 94Tyrone Tracy Jr.NYGvs ARIOur model 2.7 · Last 4 games -0.1 · z-score −0.84 · 20th percentile2.0 projected points80% range 0.0 to 7.1
  95. 95CJ DonaldsonNOvs ATLOur model 2.4 · Last 4 games 0.6 · z-score −0.84 · 19th percentile2.0 projected points80% range 0.0 to 7.0
  96. 96LeQuint Allen Jr.JAXvs CINOur model 2.1 · Last 4 games 1.4 · z-score −0.85 · 18th percentile1.9 projected points80% range 0.0 to 6.9
  97. 97Velus JonesSEAvs LACOur model 1.8 · z-score −0.87 · 17th percentile1.8 projected points80% range 0.0 to 6.7
  98. 98Reggie GilliamNEvs BUFQuestionable (knee) on the week 4 official injury report; limitedOur model 1.9 · Last 4 games 1.4 · z-score −0.88 · 15th percentile1.8 projected points80% range 0.0 to 6.7
  99. 99Isaiah DavisNYJvs CHIOur model 1.8 · z-score −0.88 · 15th percentile1.8 projected points80% range 0.0 to 6.7
  100. 100British BrooksHOUvs DALOn injured reserve (weekly roster, week 4)Our model 1.6 · z-score −0.91 · 15th percentile1.6 projected points80% range 0.0 to 6.7
  101. 101Tahj BrooksCINvs JAXOur model 1.5 · z-score −0.94 · 14th percentile1.5 projected points80% range 0.0 to 6.7
  102. 102Hunter LuepkeDALvs HOUOur model 1.8 · Last 4 games 0.4 · z-score −0.94 · 12th percentile1.4 projected points80% range 0.0 to 6.7
  103. 103Roschon JohnsonCHIvs NYJOur model 1.4 · z-score −0.94 · 12th percentile1.4 projected points80% range 0.0 to 6.7
  104. 104Andrew BeckNYJvs CHIOur model 1.4 · z-score −0.94 · 11th percentile1.4 projected points80% range 0.0 to 6.7
  105. 105Anthony Tyus IIICARvs DETOur model 1.4 · z-score −0.96 · 10th percentile1.4 projected points80% range 0.0 to 6.7
  106. 106Dean ConnorsLAvs PHIOur model 1.3 · z-score −0.97 · 9th percentile1.3 projected points80% range 0.0 to 6.7
  107. 107Patrick RicardNYGvs ARIOur model 1.6 · Last 4 games 0.0 · z-score −0.99 · 8th percentile1.2 projected points80% range 0.0 to 6.7
  108. 108Adam PrenticeDENvs SFOur model 1.2 · z-score −0.99 · 8th percentile1.2 projected points80% range 0.0 to 6.7
  109. 109Eli HeidenreichPITvs CLEOur model 1.1 · z-score −1.00 · 7th percentile1.1 projected points80% range 0.0 to 6.7
  110. 110Lew Nichols IIIPITvs CLEOur model 1.4 · Last 4 games 0.0 · z-score −1.01 · 6th percentile1.1 projected points80% range 0.0 to 6.7
  111. 111Rasheen AliBALvs TENOur model 0.9 · z-score −1.03 · 5th percentile0.9 projected points80% range 0.0 to 6.7
  112. 112Jacob SaylorsDETvs CAROur model 0.9 · z-score −1.04 · 4th percentile0.9 projected points80% range 0.0 to 6.7
  113. 113Max BredesonMINvs MIAOur model 0.9 · z-score −1.04 · 3rd percentile0.9 projected points80% range 0.0 to 6.7
  114. 114Travis HomerPITvs CLEOur model 0.8 · Last 4 games 0.8 · z-score −1.06 · 3rd percentile0.8 projected points80% range 0.0 to 6.7
  115. 115Dylan LaubeLVvs KCOur model 0.7 · z-score −1.08 · 2nd percentile0.7 projected points80% range 0.0 to 6.7
  116. 116Julius ChestnutTENvs BALOur model 0.6 · z-score −1.09 · 1st percentile0.6 projected points80% range 0.0 to 6.7
  117. 117Ben VanSumerenKCvs LVOur model 0.6 · z-score −1.10 · 0th percentile0.6 projected points80% range 0.0 to 6.7

Status is week 4’s official injury report (Out, Doubtful, Questionable) or a reserve list from the weekly rosters (IR, PUP). Facts only: a status never moves a player or changes his points.

Week 4 is graded: see its grade on the track record.

Every position in week 6 · Rest-of-season RB rankings · Rankings and the draft board