Week 6 fantasy RB rankings (Standard)

Every RB’s projected points for week 6 in Standard scoring, in the order we pinned them before the first kickoff. Points come first; the Advanced switch adds our model’s number, the last 4 games average, and each player’s z-score and percentile among running backs.

The pinned projections, a blend of our model and each player’s last four games · Built Tue, Oct 13, and saved before the first kickoff · fingerprint 1ac22bf4: the code that proves these numbers haven’t changed since they were saved

RB · Standard · points
  1. 1Bijan RobinsonATLvs CHIOur model 16.6 · Last 4 games 20.0 · z-score +2.69 · 99th percentile17.3 projected points80% range 6.7 to 30.2
  2. 2Jonathan TaylorINDvs TENOur model 16.9 · Last 4 games 15.6 · z-score +2.53 · 98th percentile16.6 projected points80% range 6.2 to 29.2
  3. 3Kyren WilliamsLAvs ARIOur model 16.2 · Last 4 games 17.4 · z-score +2.50 · 97th percentile16.5 projected points80% range 6.1 to 29.0
  4. 4Kenneth Walker IIIKCvs LACOur model 14.2 · Last 4 games 24.5 · z-score +2.49 · 96th percentile16.4 projected points80% range 6.1 to 28.9
  5. 5Derrick HenryBALvs CLEOur model 15.0 · Last 4 games 17.4 · z-score +2.28 · 95th percentile15.5 projected points80% range 5.6 to 27.6
  6. 6James CookBUFvs LVOur model 14.1 · Last 4 games 18.9 · z-score +2.21 · 94th percentile15.2 projected points80% range 5.4 to 27.1
  7. 7Christian McCaffreySFvs WASOur model 14.8 · Last 4 games 15.9 · z-score +2.17 · 93rd percentile15.0 projected points80% range 5.3 to 26.9
  8. 8Javonte WilliamsDALvs GBOur model 12.9 · Last 4 games 14.9 · z-score +1.80 · 92nd percentile13.3 projected points80% range 4.3 to 24.4
  9. 9Jaylen WarrenPITvs TBOur model 11.3 · Last 4 games 17.2 · z-score +1.62 · 91st percentile12.6 projected points80% range 3.8 to 23.3
  10. 10Bucky IrvingTBvs PITOur model 11.9 · Last 4 games 12.6 · z-score +1.51 · 90th percentile12.1 projected points80% range 3.5 to 22.6
  11. 11Ashton JeantyLVvs BUFOur model 12.5 · Last 4 games 9.0 · z-score +1.44 · 89th percentile11.7 projected points80% range 3.4 to 22.1
  12. 12Chuba HubbardCARvs PHIOur model 10.0 · Last 4 games 17.3 · z-score +1.40 · 88th percentile11.6 projected points80% range 3.3 to 21.9
  13. 13Bhayshul TutenJAXvs HOUOur model 11.3 · Last 4 games 11.5 · z-score +1.34 · 87th percentile11.3 projected points80% range 3.1 to 21.5
  14. 14D'Andre SwiftCHIvs ATLOur model 11.4 · Last 4 games 8.8 · z-score +1.24 · 86th percentile10.8 projected points80% range 2.8 to 20.8
  15. 15Breece HallNYJvs NEOur model 10.5 · Last 4 games 10.8 · z-score +1.18 · 85th percentile10.6 projected points80% range 2.7 to 20.5
  16. 16Quinshon JudkinsCLEvs BALOur model 11.0 · Last 4 games 8.3 · z-score +1.15 · 84th percentile10.4 projected points80% range 2.6 to 20.3
  17. 17Kyle MonangaiCHIvs ATLOur model 9.4 · Last 4 games 13.6 · z-score +1.13 · 83rd percentile10.3 projected points80% range 2.5 to 20.2
  18. 18Jeremiyah LoveARIvs LAOur model 11.0 · Last 4 games 7.3 · z-score +1.09 · 82nd percentile10.2 projected points80% range 2.4 to 19.9
  19. 19Omarion HamptonLACvs KCOur model 9.9 · Last 4 games 9.1 · z-score +1.00 · 81st percentile9.8 projected points80% range 2.2 to 19.4
  20. 20Rhamondre StevensonNEvs NYJOur model 9.7 · Last 4 games 9.1 · z-score +0.95 · 80th percentile9.6 projected points80% range 2.1 to 19.1
  21. 21Cam SkatteboNYGvs NOOur model 10.2 · Last 4 games 6.8 · z-score +0.93 · 79th percentile9.5 projected points80% range 2.0 to 19.0
  22. 22Emanuel WilsonSEAvs DENOur model 8.2 · Last 4 games 11.4 · z-score +0.81 · 78th percentile8.9 projected points80% range 1.9 to 18.3
  23. 23Braelon AllenNYJvs NEOur model 8.5 · Last 4 games 8.4 · z-score +0.71 · 77th percentile8.4 projected points80% range 1.7 to 17.7
  24. 24Tony PollardTENvs INDOur model 7.9 · Last 4 games 8.1 · z-score +0.60 · 76th percentile8.0 projected points80% range 1.6 to 17.1
  25. 25J.K. DobbinsDENvs SEAOur model 8.1 · Last 4 games 6.9 · z-score +0.57 · 75th percentile7.8 projected points80% range 1.5 to 16.8
  26. 26Jacory Croskey-MerrittWASvs SFOur model 8.0 · Last 4 games 7.1 · z-score +0.55 · 74th percentile7.8 projected points80% range 1.5 to 16.7
  27. 27Brian RobinsonATLvs CHIOur model 6.6 · Last 4 games 11.0 · z-score +0.51 · 73rd percentile7.6 projected points80% range 1.4 to 16.4
  28. 28TreVeyon HendersonNEvs NYJOur model 7.8 · Last 4 games 6.1 · z-score +0.48 · 72nd percentile7.4 projected points80% range 1.3 to 16.2
  29. 29Saquon BarkleyPHIvs CAROur model 8.0 · Last 4 games 4.8 · z-score +0.45 · 71st percentile7.3 projected points80% range 1.2 to 15.9
  30. 30Blake CorumLAvs ARIOur model 7.3 · Last 4 games 6.5 · z-score +0.41 · 70th percentile7.1 projected points80% range 1.1 to 15.6
  31. 31Alvin KamaraNOvs NYGOur model 7.0 · Last 4 games 6.2 · z-score +0.35 · 69th percentile6.8 projected points80% range 1.0 to 15.1
  32. 32MarShawn LloydGBvs DALOur model 6.6 · Last 4 games 7.3 · z-score +0.33 · 68th percentile6.7 projected points80% range 1.0 to 14.9
  33. 33Woody MarksHOUvs JAXOur model 6.5 · Last 4 games 7.1 · z-score +0.30 · 67th percentile6.6 projected points80% range 0.9 to 14.7
  34. 34Rachaad WhiteWASvs SFOur model 6.6 · Last 4 games 5.8 · z-score +0.25 · 66th percentile6.4 projected points80% range 0.9 to 14.5
  35. 35Keaton MitchellLACvs KCOur model 6.3 · Last 4 games 6.0 · z-score +0.20 · 65th percentile6.2 projected points80% range 0.8 to 14.3
  36. 36David MontgomeryHOUvs JAXOur model 6.3 · Last 4 games 3.1 · z-score +0.07 · 64th percentile5.6 projected points80% range 0.7 to 13.6
  37. 37Rico DowdlePITvs TBOur model 6.2 · Last 4 games 3.3 · z-score +0.05 · 63rd percentile5.5 projected points80% range 0.7 to 13.5
  38. 38RJ HarveyDENvs SEAOur model 5.6 · Last 4 games 4.7 · z-score +0.04 · 62nd percentile5.4 projected points80% range 0.6 to 13.5
  39. 39Kendre MillerNOvs NYGOur model 5.4 · Last 4 games 5.0 · z-score 0.00 · 61st percentile5.3 projected points80% range 0.6 to 13.3
  40. 40Kimani VidalLACvs KCOur model 4.5 · Last 4 games 7.7 · z-score 0.00 · 60th percentile5.3 projected points80% range 0.6 to 13.3
  41. 41Tyler AllgeierARIvs LAOur model 5.6 · Last 4 games 3.8 · z-score −0.01 · 59th percentile5.2 projected points80% range 0.6 to 13.2
  42. 42Mike Washington Jr.LVvs BUFOur model 5.2 · Last 4 games 3.7 · z-score −0.10 · 58th percentile4.8 projected points80% range 0.5 to 12.7
  43. 43Chris Rodriguez Jr.JAXvs HOUOur model 4.7 · Last 4 games 5.4 · z-score −0.10 · 57th percentile4.8 projected points80% range 0.5 to 12.7
  44. 44Dameon PiercePHIvs CAROur model 5.2 · Last 4 games 1.2 · z-score −0.21 · 56th percentile4.3 projected points80% range 0.3 to 12.0
  45. 45Justice HillBALvs CLEOur model 4.4 · Last 4 games 3.9 · z-score −0.22 · 55th percentile4.3 projected points80% range 0.3 to 12.0
  46. 46Kenny GainwellTBvs PITOur model 4.4 · Last 4 games 3.5 · z-score −0.23 · 55th percentile4.2 projected points80% range 0.3 to 11.9
  47. 47Devin SingletaryNYGvs NOOur model 3.8 · Last 4 games 5.3 · z-score −0.25 · 54th percentile4.2 projected points80% range 0.3 to 11.8
  48. 48Seth McGowanINDvs TENOur model 4.4 · Last 4 games 1.8 · z-score −0.33 · 53rd percentile3.8 projected points80% range 0.3 to 11.2
  49. 49Kaleb JohnsonGBvs DALOur model 4.1 · Last 4 games 2.4 · z-score −0.34 · 52nd percentile3.7 projected points80% range 0.3 to 11.1
  50. 50Ty JohnsonBUFvs LVOur model 3.5 · Last 4 games 4.5 · z-score −0.34 · 51st percentile3.7 projected points80% range 0.3 to 11.1
  51. 51Najee HarrisNYGvs NOOur model 3.9 · Last 4 games 2.5 · z-score −0.37 · 50th percentile3.6 projected points80% range 0.2 to 10.9
  52. 52Emmett JohnsonKCvs LACOur model 3.7 · Last 4 games 3.3 · z-score −0.38 · 49th percentile3.6 projected points80% range 0.2 to 10.8
  53. 53Roschon JohnsonCHIvs ATLOur model 3.6 · Last 4 games 3.1 · z-score −0.39 · 47th percentile3.5 projected points80% range 0.2 to 10.8
  54. 54Tyjae SpearsTENvs INDOur model 3.9 · Last 4 games 2.2 · z-score −0.39 · 47th percentile3.5 projected points80% range 0.2 to 10.8
  55. 55Austin EkelerWASvs SFOur model 3.6 · Last 4 games 2.7 · z-score −0.41 · 46th percentile3.4 projected points80% range 0.2 to 10.6
  56. 56Kaelon BlackSFvs WASOur model 3.8 · Last 4 games 1.8 · z-score −0.44 · 45th percentile3.3 projected points80% range 0.2 to 10.4
  57. 57George HolaniSEAvs DENOur model 3.4 · Last 4 games 2.6 · z-score −0.46 · 44th percentile3.2 projected points80% range 0.2 to 10.2
  58. 58Dylan LaubeLVvs BUFOur model 1.5 · Last 4 games 8.5 · z-score −0.49 · 43rd percentile3.1 projected points80% range 0.2 to 9.9
  59. 59Sean TuckerTBvs PITOur model 2.7 · Last 4 games 4.4 · z-score −0.50 · 42nd percentile3.0 projected points80% range 0.2 to 9.8
  60. 60Riley NowakowskiPITvs TBOur model 3.0 · z-score −0.52 · 41st percentile3.0 projected points80% range 0.2 to 9.6
  61. 61Will ShipleyPHIvs CAROur model 2.6 · Last 4 games 3.4 · z-score −0.56 · 40th percentile2.8 projected points80% range 0.2 to 9.1
  62. 62Pierre StrongGBvs DALOur model 2.9 · Last 4 games 1.8 · z-score −0.59 · 39th percentile2.6 projected points80% range 0.1 to 8.8
  63. 63Michael CarterTENvs INDOur model 2.6 · z-score −0.59 · 38th percentile2.6 projected points80% range 0.1 to 8.7
  64. 64Raheim SandersCLEvs BALOn injured reserve (weekly roster, week 6)Our model 2.6 · Last 4 games 2.3 · z-score −0.62 · 37th percentile2.5 projected points80% range 0.1 to 8.4
  65. 65Corey KinerNEvs NYJOur model 2.7 · Last 4 games 1.9 · z-score −0.62 · 36th percentile2.5 projected points80% range 0.1 to 8.4
  66. 66CJ DonaldsonNOvs NYGOur model 2.6 · Last 4 games 1.3 · z-score −0.66 · 35th percentile2.3 projected points80% range 0.1 to 8.0
  67. 67Ray DavisBUFvs LVOur model 2.4 · Last 4 games 1.4 · z-score −0.68 · 34th percentile2.2 projected points80% range 0.1 to 7.6
  68. 68AJ DillonCARvs PHIOur model 2.5 · Last 4 games 1.1 · z-score −0.69 · 33rd percentile2.2 projected points80% range 0.1 to 7.5
  69. 69Kyle JuszczykSFvs WASOur model 1.6 · Last 4 games 3.8 · z-score −0.70 · 32nd percentile2.1 projected points80% range 0.1 to 7.4
  70. 70Tyler GoodsonDALvs GBOur model 2.2 · Last 4 games 1.4 · z-score −0.72 · 31st percentile2.0 projected points80% range 0.1 to 7.2
  71. 71Jaleel McLaughlinCLEvs BALOur model 1.7 · Last 4 games 3.0 · z-score −0.73 · 30th percentile2.0 projected points80% range 0.1 to 7.2
  72. 72Jordan JamesSFvs WASOur model 2.0 · Last 4 games 1.5 · z-score −0.75 · 29th percentile1.9 projected points80% range 0.1 to 6.9
  73. 73Tyler BadieDENvs SEAOur model 1.6 · Last 4 games 2.6 · z-score −0.77 · 28th percentile1.8 projected points80% range 0.1 to 6.7
  74. 74Nicholas SingletonTENvs INDOur model 2.2 · Last 4 games 0.6 · z-score −0.77 · 27th percentile1.8 projected points80% range 0.1 to 6.7
  75. 75Bam KnightARIvs LAOur model 1.8 · Last 4 games 1.6 · z-score −0.78 · 26th percentile1.8 projected points80% range 0.1 to 6.6
  76. 76Tyrone Tracy Jr.NYGvs NOOur model 2.0 · Last 4 games 0.7 · z-score −0.78 · 25th percentile1.8 projected points80% range 0.1 to 6.5
  77. 77Isaiah DavisNYJvs NEOur model 1.7 · Last 4 games 1.7 · z-score −0.79 · 24th percentile1.7 projected points80% range 0.1 to 6.5
  78. 78Ameer AbdullahJAXvs HOUOur model 1.7 · Last 4 games 1.6 · z-score −0.80 · 22nd percentile1.7 projected points80% range 0.0 to 6.3
  79. 79DJ GiddensINDvs TENOur model 1.7 · z-score −0.80 · 22nd percentile1.7 projected points80% range 0.0 to 6.3
  80. 80Alec IngoldLACvs KCOur model 1.1 · Last 4 games 3.5 · z-score −0.81 · 21st percentile1.6 projected points80% range 0.0 to 6.2
  81. 81Brashard SmithKCvs LACOur model 1.8 · Last 4 games 0.4 · z-score −0.84 · 20th percentile1.5 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.8
  82. 82Scott MatlockLACvs KCOur model 1.4 · z-score −0.86 · 19th percentile1.4 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.7
  83. 83Dean ConnorsLAvs ARIOur model 1.4 · z-score −0.87 · 18th percentile1.4 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.6
  84. 84Robert Henry Jr.SEAvs DENOur model 1.3 · z-score −0.88 · 17th percentile1.3 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.5
  85. 85LeQuint Allen Jr.JAXvs HOUOur model 1.6 · Last 4 games 0.3 · z-score −0.89 · 16th percentile1.3 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.3
  86. 86Eli HeidenreichPITvs TBOur model 1.3 · z-score −0.89 · 15th percentile1.3 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.3
  87. 87Carson SteelePHIvs CAROur model 1.1 · z-score −0.92 · 14th percentile1.1 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.3
  88. 88Connor HeywardLVvs BUFOur model 1.3 · Last 4 games 0.2 · z-score −0.94 · 13th percentile1.1 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.3
  89. 89Brady RussellSEAvs DENOur model 0.7 · Last 4 games 2.0 · z-score −0.95 · 12th percentile1.0 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.3
  90. 90Dare OgunbowaleHOUvs JAXOur model 0.8 · z-score −1.01 · 11th percentile0.8 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.3
  91. 91Hunter LuepkeDALvs GBOur model 0.8 · Last 4 games 0.4 · z-score −1.01 · 10th percentile0.7 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.3
  92. 92Kene NwangwuNYJvs NEOur model 0.7 · z-score −1.02 · 9th percentile0.7 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.3
  93. 93Patrick RicardNYGvs NOOur model 0.8 · Last 4 games 0.1 · z-score −1.03 · 8th percentile0.7 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.3
  94. 94Michael BurtonCLEvs BALOur model 0.8 · Last 4 games 0.0 · z-score −1.04 · 7th percentile0.6 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.3
  95. 95Travis HomerPITvs TBOur model 0.6 · Last 4 games 0.5 · z-score −1.05 · 6th percentile0.6 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.3
  96. 96Andrew BeckNYJvs NEOur model 0.5 · z-score −1.05 · 5th percentile0.5 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.3
  97. 97Rasheen AliBALvs CLEOur model 0.5 · z-score −1.06 · 4th percentile0.5 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.3
  98. 98Velus Jones Jr.SEAvs DENOur model 0.5 · z-score −1.07 · 3rd percentile0.5 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.3
  99. 99Julius ChestnutTENvs INDOur model 0.4 · z-score −1.09 · 2nd percentile0.4 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.3
  100. 100Ben VanSumerenKCvs LACOur model 0.4 · z-score −1.09 · 1st percentile0.4 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.3
  101. 101Adam PrenticeDENvs SEAOur model 0.3 · Last 4 games 0.3 · z-score −1.12 · 0th percentile0.3 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.3

Status is week 6’s official injury report (Out, Doubtful, Questionable) or a reserve list from the weekly rosters (IR, PUP). Facts only: a status never moves a player or changes his points.

Week 6 is graded on the track record once its games are played.

Every position in week 6 · Rest-of-season RB rankings · Rankings and the draft board