Week 5 fantasy RB rankings (Standard)
Every RB’s projected points for week 5 in Standard scoring, in the order we pinned them before the first kickoff. Points come first; the Advanced switch adds our model’s number, the last 4 games average, and each player’s z-score and percentile among running backs.
This is week 5 as it was pinned. The current week is week 6.
The pinned projections, a blend of our model and each player’s last four games · Built Tue, Oct 6, and saved before the first kickoff · fingerprint c9503360: the code that proves these numbers haven’t changed since they were saved
- 1Jahmyr GibbsDETvs ARIOur model 18.8 · Last 4 games 23.5 · z-score +3.27 · 99th percentilevs ARI19.8 projected points80% range 8.1 to 33.8
- 2Bijan RobinsonATLvs BALOur model 15.3 · Last 4 games 22.9 · z-score +2.64 · 98th percentilevs BAL17.0 projected points80% range 6.5 to 29.7
- 3Jonathan TaylorINDvs PITOur model 14.7 · Last 4 games 19.1 · z-score +2.34 · 97th percentilevs PIT15.7 projected points80% range 5.7 to 27.8
- 4Kyren WilliamsLAvs BUFOur model 15.1 · Last 4 games 17.2 · z-score +2.31 · 96th percentilevs BUF15.5 projected points80% range 5.6 to 27.6
- 5Derrick HenryBALvs ATLOur model 13.2 · Last 4 games 20.9 · z-score +2.17 · 95th percentilevs ATL14.9 projected points80% range 5.2 to 26.7
- 6James CookBUFvs LAOur model 14.0 · Last 4 games 15.1 · z-score +2.04 · 94th percentilevs LA14.3 projected points80% range 4.9 to 25.8
- 7Javonte WilliamsDALvs TBOur model 13.4 · Last 4 games 16.7 · z-score +2.01 · 94th percentilevs TB14.2 projected points80% range 4.8 to 25.6
- 8Christian McCaffreySFvs SEAOur model 12.8 · Last 4 games 14.5 · z-score +1.80 · 93rd percentilevs SEA13.2 projected points80% range 4.2 to 24.2
- 9Ashton JeantyLVvs NEQuestionable (ankle) on the week 5 official injury report; dnpOur model 12.5 · Last 4 games 13.7 · z-score +1.70 · 92nd percentilevs NEQuestionable (ankle) on the week 5 official injury report; dnp12.8 projected points80% range 4.0 to 23.6
- 10Chase BrownCINvs MIAOur model 13.6 · Last 4 games 9.3 · z-score +1.67 · 91st percentilevs MIA12.6 projected points80% range 3.9 to 23.4
- 11Jeremiyah LoveARIvs DETOur model 12.0 · Last 4 games 9.5 · z-score +1.41 · 90th percentilevs DET11.5 projected points80% range 3.2 to 21.7
- 12Breece HallNYJvs CLEOut (quadricep) on the week 5 official injury report; dnpOur model 11.5 · Last 4 games 10.8 · z-score +1.38 · 89th percentilevs CLEOut (quadricep) on the week 5 official injury report; dnp11.4 projected points80% range 3.1 to 21.6
- 13Omarion HamptonLACvs DENOur model 11.0 · Last 4 games 10.2 · z-score +1.27 · 88th percentilevs DEN10.8 projected points80% range 2.8 to 20.9
- 14Jaylen WarrenPITvs INDOur model 10.6 · Last 4 games 10.8 · z-score +1.22 · 87th percentilevs IND10.6 projected points80% range 2.7 to 20.6
- 15Bhayshul TutenJAXvs PHIOur model 10.3 · Last 4 games 11.3 · z-score +1.20 · 86th percentilevs PHI10.5 projected points80% range 2.6 to 20.4
- 16D'Andre SwiftCHIvs GBOur model 9.7 · Last 4 games 13.4 · z-score +1.19 · 85th percentilevs GB10.5 projected points80% range 2.6 to 20.4
- 17Cam SkatteboNYGvs WASOur model 10.9 · Last 4 games 9.1 · z-score +1.19 · 84th percentilevs WAS10.5 projected points80% range 2.6 to 20.4
- 18Quinshon JudkinsCLEvs NYJOur model 10.9 · Last 4 games 8.3 · z-score +1.16 · 83rd percentilevs NYJ10.4 projected points80% range 2.5 to 20.2
- 19Aaron JonesMINvs NOOur model 10.2 · Last 4 games 10.6 · z-score +1.14 · 82nd percentilevs NO10.3 projected points80% range 2.5 to 20.0
- 20Bucky IrvingTBvs DALOur model 10.2 · Last 4 games 8.6 · z-score +1.05 · 81st percentilevs DAL9.9 projected points80% range 2.2 to 19.5
- 21Kyle MonangaiCHIvs GBOut (thumb) on the week 5 official injury report; dnpOur model 7.9 · Last 4 games 13.6 · z-score +0.88 · 80th percentilevs GBOut (thumb) on the week 5 official injury report; dnp9.1 projected points80% range 1.9 to 18.6
- 22David MontgomeryHOUvs TENOur model 8.7 · Last 4 games 9.3 · z-score +0.82 · 79th percentilevs TEN8.8 projected points80% range 1.8 to 18.2
- 23Rhamondre StevensonNEvs LVQuestionable (knee) on the week 5 official injury report; limitedOur model 9.1 · Last 4 games 7.8 · z-score +0.81 · 79th percentilevs LVQuestionable (knee) on the week 5 official injury report; limited8.8 projected points80% range 1.8 to 18.1
- 24TreVeyon HendersonNEvs LVOur model 9.0 · Last 4 games 6.9 · z-score +0.76 · 78th percentilevs LV8.6 projected points80% range 1.8 to 17.9
- 25Tony PollardTENvs HOUOur model 8.6 · Last 4 games 7.6 · z-score +0.72 · 77th percentilevs HOU8.4 projected points80% range 1.7 to 17.6
- 26Ollie Gordon IIMIAvs CINOur model 7.9 · Last 4 games 9.4 · z-score +0.69 · 76th percentilevs CIN8.3 projected points80% range 1.7 to 17.5
- 27Jacory Croskey-MerrittWASvs NYGOur model 8.7 · Last 4 games 6.4 · z-score +0.68 · 75th percentilevs NYG8.2 projected points80% range 1.6 to 17.4
- 28Emanuel WilsonSEAvs SFOur model 8.0 · Last 4 games 8.7 · z-score +0.66 · 74th percentilevs SF8.1 projected points80% range 1.6 to 17.3
- 29Alvin KamaraNOvs MINQuestionable (back) on the week 5 official injury report; limitedOur model 7.8 · Last 4 games 8.0 · z-score +0.61 · 73rd percentilevs MINQuestionable (back) on the week 5 official injury report; limited7.9 projected points80% range 1.5 to 16.9
- 30Brian RobinsonATLvs BALOur model 6.9 · Last 4 games 11.4 · z-score +0.60 · 72nd percentilevs BAL7.9 projected points80% range 1.5 to 16.9
- 31J.K. DobbinsDENvs LACOur model 8.8 · Last 4 games 4.4 · z-score +0.60 · 71st percentilevs LAC7.8 projected points80% range 1.5 to 16.8
- 32RJ HarveyDENvs LACOur model 7.3 · Last 4 games 6.0 · z-score +0.41 · 70th percentilevs LAC7.0 projected points80% range 1.1 to 15.4
- 33Saquon BarkleyPHIvs JAXOut (hamstring) on the week 5 official injury report; dnpOur model 7.5 · Last 4 games 4.8 · z-score +0.39 · 69th percentilevs JAXOut (hamstring) on the week 5 official injury report; dnp6.9 projected points80% range 1.1 to 15.2
- 34Rachaad WhiteWASvs NYGOur model 6.6 · Last 4 games 7.0 · z-score +0.35 · 68th percentilevs NYG6.7 projected points80% range 1.0 to 14.9
- 35Woody MarksHOUvs TENOur model 6.8 · Last 4 games 6.0 · z-score +0.33 · 67th percentilevs TEN6.6 projected points80% range 0.9 to 14.8
- 36Keaton MitchellLACvs DENOur model 6.5 · Last 4 games 5.5 · z-score +0.24 · 66th percentilevs DEN6.2 projected points80% range 0.8 to 14.3
- 37Braelon AllenNYJvs CLEOur model 6.4 · Last 4 games 5.0 · z-score +0.21 · 65th percentilevs CLE6.1 projected points80% range 0.8 to 14.2
- 38Tyler AllgeierARIvs DETOur model 6.2 · Last 4 games 5.2 · z-score +0.17 · 65th percentilevs DET5.9 projected points80% range 0.8 to 14.0
- 39Blake CorumLAvs BUFOur model 6.1 · Last 4 games 4.5 · z-score +0.14 · 64th percentilevs BUF5.8 projected points80% range 0.7 to 13.8
- 40Rico DowdlePITvs INDQuestionable (toe) on the week 5 official injury report; limitedOur model 6.2 · Last 4 games 3.3 · z-score +0.09 · 63rd percentilevs INDQuestionable (toe) on the week 5 official injury report; limited5.5 projected points80% range 0.7 to 13.6
- 41MarShawn LloydGBvs CHIOur model 5.7 · Last 4 games 4.3 · z-score +0.04 · 62nd percentilevs CHI5.3 projected points80% range 0.6 to 13.4
- 42Kendre MillerNOvs MINOur model 5.3 · Last 4 games 3.6 · z-score −0.06 · 61st percentilevs MIN4.9 projected points80% range 0.5 to 12.8
- 43Chris Rodriguez Jr.JAXvs PHIOur model 4.6 · Last 4 games 5.7 · z-score −0.07 · 60th percentilevs PHI4.9 projected points80% range 0.5 to 12.7
- 44Tank BigsbyPHIvs JAXOn injured reserve (weekly roster, week 5)Our model 5.1 · Last 4 games 3.5 · z-score −0.09 · 59th percentilevs JAXOn injured reserve (weekly roster, week 5)4.7 projected points80% range 0.5 to 12.6
- 45Mike Washington Jr.LVvs NEOur model 4.8 · Last 4 games 4.5 · z-score −0.10 · 58th percentilevs NE4.7 projected points80% range 0.5 to 12.6
- 46Devin SingletaryNYGvs WASOur model 4.5 · Last 4 games 5.3 · z-score −0.10 · 57th percentilevs WAS4.7 projected points80% range 0.4 to 12.5
- 47Ty JohnsonBUFvs LAOur model 4.4 · Last 4 games 3.1 · z-score −0.24 · 56th percentilevs LA4.1 projected points80% range 0.3 to 11.7
- 48Kaleb JohnsonGBvs CHIOur model 4.5 · Last 4 games 2.3 · z-score −0.26 · 55th percentilevs CHI4.0 projected points80% range 0.3 to 11.6
- 49Kenny GainwellTBvs DALOur model 4.2 · Last 4 games 3.3 · z-score −0.26 · 54th percentilevs DAL4.0 projected points80% range 0.3 to 11.6
- 50Najee HarrisNYGvs WASOur model 4.3 · Last 4 games 2.9 · z-score −0.27 · 53rd percentilevs WAS4.0 projected points80% range 0.3 to 11.5
- 51Kaelon BlackSFvs SEAOur model 4.0 · Last 4 games 3.1 · z-score −0.30 · 52nd percentilevs SEA3.8 projected points80% range 0.3 to 11.3
- 52Kimani VidalLACvs DENOur model 3.2 · Last 4 games 5.8 · z-score −0.30 · 51st percentilevs DEN3.8 projected points80% range 0.3 to 11.2
- 53Austin EkelerWASvs NYGOur model 3.6 · Last 4 games 4.0 · z-score −0.33 · 51st percentilevs NYG3.7 projected points80% range 0.3 to 11.0
- 54Tyjae SpearsTENvs HOUOur model 3.6 · Last 4 games 2.6 · z-score −0.40 · 50th percentilevs HOU3.4 projected points80% range 0.2 to 10.5
- 55Sean TuckerTBvs DALOur model 2.3 · Last 4 games 7.0 · z-score −0.40 · 49th percentilevs DAL3.4 projected points80% range 0.2 to 10.5
- 56George HolaniSEAvs SFQuestionable (ribs) on the week 5 official injury report; limitedOur model 3.2 · Last 4 games 3.0 · z-score −0.45 · 48th percentilevs SFQuestionable (ribs) on the week 5 official injury report; limited3.1 projected points80% range 0.2 to 10.1
- 57Justice HillBALvs ATLOur model 3.3 · Last 4 games 2.6 · z-score −0.46 · 47th percentilevs ATL3.1 projected points80% range 0.2 to 10.1
- 58Samaje PerineCINvs MIAOur model 3.2 · Last 4 games 2.3 · z-score −0.48 · 46th percentilevs MIA3.0 projected points80% range 0.2 to 9.7
- 59Seth McGowanINDvs PITOur model 3.3 · Last 4 games 1.3 · z-score −0.52 · 45th percentilevs PIT2.9 projected points80% range 0.2 to 9.3
- 60Michael CarterTENvs HOUOur model 2.8 · z-score −0.53 · 44th percentilevs HOU2.8 projected points80% range 0.2 to 9.2
- 61Bam KnightARIvs DETOur model 2.7 · Last 4 games 2.4 · z-score −0.56 · 43rd percentilevs DET2.6 projected points80% range 0.1 to 8.8
- 62Chris BrooksGBvs CHIOut (ankle) on the week 5 official injury report; dnpOur model 2.7 · Last 4 games 2.4 · z-score −0.57 · 42nd percentilevs CHIOut (ankle) on the week 5 official injury report; dnp2.6 projected points80% range 0.1 to 8.7
- 63Raheim SandersCLEvs NYJOur model 2.5 · Last 4 games 2.6 · z-score −0.58 · 41st percentilevs NYJ2.6 projected points80% range 0.1 to 8.6
- 64Will ShipleyPHIvs JAXOur model 2.7 · Last 4 games 1.9 · z-score −0.58 · 40th percentilevs JAX2.5 projected points80% range 0.1 to 8.5
- 65Jaleel McLaughlinCLEvs NYJOur model 1.9 · Last 4 games 4.5 · z-score −0.60 · 39th percentilevs NYJ2.5 projected points80% range 0.1 to 8.3
- 66Jaylen WrightMIAvs CINQuestionable (foot) on the week 5 official injury report; limitedOur model 2.9 · Last 4 games 0.6 · z-score −0.62 · 38th percentilevs CINQuestionable (foot) on the week 5 official injury report; limited2.4 projected points80% range 0.1 to 8.1
- 67Kaytron AllenWASvs NYGOur model 2.7 · Last 4 games 1.4 · z-score −0.62 · 37th percentilevs NYG2.4 projected points80% range 0.1 to 8.1
- 68Tyler BadieDENvs LACOur model 2.1 · Last 4 games 3.4 · z-score −0.63 · 36th percentilevs LAC2.4 projected points80% range 0.1 to 8.0
- 69Sione VakiDETvs ARIOur model 2.3 · Last 4 games 2.3 · z-score −0.64 · 36th percentilevs ARI2.3 projected points80% range 0.1 to 7.8
- 70Jordan JamesSFvs SEAOur model 2.4 · Last 4 games 1.5 · z-score −0.65 · 35th percentilevs SEA2.2 projected points80% range 0.1 to 7.7
- 71Tyler GoodsonDALvs TBOur model 2.3 · Last 4 games 1.4 · z-score −0.68 · 34th percentilevs TB2.1 projected points80% range 0.1 to 7.4
- 72Emari DemercadoDALvs TBOur model 2.5 · Last 4 games 0.8 · z-score −0.68 · 33rd percentilevs TB2.1 projected points80% range 0.1 to 7.4
- 73Ameer AbdullahJAXvs PHIOur model 2.1 · Last 4 games 1.6 · z-score −0.71 · 32nd percentilevs PHI2.0 projected points80% range 0.1 to 7.1
- 74Nicholas SingletonTENvs HOUOur model 2.4 · Last 4 games 0.6 · z-score −0.71 · 31st percentilevs HOU2.0 projected points80% range 0.1 to 7.1
- 75Riley NowakowskiPITvs INDOur model 2.0 · z-score −0.71 · 30th percentilevs IND2.0 projected points80% range 0.1 to 7.0
- 76CJ DonaldsonNOvs MINOur model 2.1 · Last 4 games 0.8 · z-score −0.74 · 29th percentilevs MIN1.8 projected points80% range 0.1 to 6.7
- 77Corey KinerNEvs LVOur model 1.9 · Last 4 games 1.3 · z-score −0.75 · 28th percentilevs LV1.8 projected points80% range 0.1 to 6.6
- 78Roschon JohnsonCHIvs GBOur model 1.6 · Last 4 games 2.3 · z-score −0.76 · 27th percentilevs GB1.8 projected points80% range 0.1 to 6.5
- 79Michael BurtonCLEvs NYJOur model 1.6 · z-score −0.80 · 25th percentilevs NYJ1.6 projected points80% range 0.0 to 6.1
- 80Ray DavisBUFvs LAOur model 1.9 · Last 4 games 0.5 · z-score −0.80 · 25th percentilevs LA1.6 projected points80% range 0.0 to 6.1
- 81D.GiddensINDvs PITOur model 1.6 · z-score −0.80 · 24th percentilevs PIT1.6 projected points80% range 0.0 to 6.1
- 82Alec IngoldLACvs DENOur model 1.6 · z-score −0.80 · 22nd percentilevs DEN1.6 projected points80% range 0.0 to 6.1
- 83Demond ClaiborneMINvs NOOur model 1.9 · Last 4 games 0.5 · z-score −0.80 · 22nd percentilevs NO1.6 projected points80% range 0.0 to 6.1
- 84Kyle JuszczykSFvs SEAOut (knee) on the week 5 official injury report; dnpOur model 1.6 · z-score −0.80 · 22nd percentilevs SEAOut (knee) on the week 5 official injury report; dnp1.6 projected points80% range 0.0 to 6.0
- 85DJ HermanMIAvs CINOur model 1.2 · Last 4 games 1.8 · z-score −0.86 · 21st percentilevs CIN1.3 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.5
- 86Tahj BrooksCINvs MIAOur model 1.3 · z-score −0.86 · 20th percentilevs MIA1.3 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.4
- 87LeQuint Allen Jr.JAXvs PHIOur model 1.5 · Last 4 games 0.5 · z-score −0.87 · 19th percentilevs PHI1.3 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.3
- 88Brady RussellSEAvs SFOur model 1.0 · Last 4 games 2.0 · z-score −0.87 · 18th percentilevs SF1.3 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.3
- 89Eli HeidenreichPITvs INDOur model 1.1 · z-score −0.90 · 17th percentilevs IND1.1 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.3
- 90Tyrone Tracy Jr.NYGvs WASOur model 1.4 · Last 4 games -0.1 · z-score −0.91 · 15th percentilevs WAS1.1 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.3
- 91Dean ConnorsLAvs BUFOur model 1.1 · z-score −0.91 · 15th percentilevs BUF1.1 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.3
- 92Isaiah DavisNYJvs CLEOur model 1.0 · z-score −0.92 · 14th percentilevs CLE1.0 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.3
- 93DeeJay DallasMINvs NOOur model 1.1 · Last 4 games 0.8 · z-score −0.93 · 13th percentilevs NO1.0 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.3
- 94Reggie GilliamNEvs LVOut (ankle) on the week 5 official injury report; dnpOur model 1.2 · Last 4 games 0.4 · z-score −0.93 · 12th percentilevs LVOut (ankle) on the week 5 official injury report; dnp1.0 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.3
- 95Kene NwangwuNYJvs CLEOur model 0.9 · z-score −0.94 · 11th percentilevs CLE0.9 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.3
- 96Dare OgunbowaleHOUvs TENOur model 0.9 · z-score −0.95 · 10th percentilevs TEN0.9 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.3
- 97Hunter LuepkeDALvs TBOur model 1.0 · Last 4 games 0.3 · z-score −0.96 · 9th percentilevs TB0.8 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.3
- 98Max BredesonMINvs NOOur model 0.7 · z-score −0.99 · 8th percentilevs NO0.7 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.3
- 99Patrick RicardNYGvs WASOur model 0.9 · Last 4 games 0.1 · z-score −1.00 · 8th percentilevs WAS0.7 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.3
- 100Andrew BeckNYJvs CLEOur model 0.6 · z-score −1.02 · 7th percentilevs CLE0.6 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.3
- 101Travis HomerPITvs INDOur model 0.6 · Last 4 games 0.5 · z-score −1.03 · 6th percentilevs IND0.6 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.3
- 102Jacob SaylorsDETvs ARIOur model 0.5 · z-score −1.04 · 5th percentilevs ARI0.5 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.3
- 103Velus JonesSEAvs SFOur model 0.5 · z-score −1.04 · 4th percentilevs SF0.5 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.3
- 104Dylan LaubeLVvs NEOur model 0.5 · z-score −1.05 · 2nd percentilevs NE0.5 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.3
- 105Rasheen AliBALvs ATLOur model 0.5 · z-score −1.05 · 2nd percentilevs ATL0.5 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.3
- 106Adam PrenticeDENvs LACOur model 0.4 · z-score −1.06 · 1st percentilevs LAC0.4 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.3
- 107Julius ChestnutTENvs HOUOur model 0.3 · z-score −1.07 · 0th percentilevs HOU0.3 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.3
Status is week 5’s official injury report (Out, Doubtful, Questionable) or a reserve list from the weekly rosters (IR, PUP). Facts only: a status never moves a player or changes his points.
Week 5 is graded: see its grade on the track record.
Every position in week 6 · Rest-of-season RB rankings · Rankings and the draft board