Week 5 fantasy RB rankings (Standard)

Every RB’s projected points for week 5 in Standard scoring, in the order we pinned them before the first kickoff. Points come first; the Advanced switch adds our model’s number, the last 4 games average, and each player’s z-score and percentile among running backs.

This is week 5 as it was pinned. The current week is week 6.

The pinned projections, a blend of our model and each player’s last four games · Built Tue, Oct 6, and saved before the first kickoff · fingerprint c9503360: the code that proves these numbers haven’t changed since they were saved

RB · Standard · points
  1. 1Jahmyr GibbsDETvs ARIOur model 18.8 · Last 4 games 23.5 · z-score +3.27 · 99th percentile19.8 projected points80% range 8.1 to 33.8
  2. 2Bijan RobinsonATLvs BALOur model 15.3 · Last 4 games 22.9 · z-score +2.64 · 98th percentile17.0 projected points80% range 6.5 to 29.7
  3. 3Jonathan TaylorINDvs PITOur model 14.7 · Last 4 games 19.1 · z-score +2.34 · 97th percentile15.7 projected points80% range 5.7 to 27.8
  4. 4Kyren WilliamsLAvs BUFOur model 15.1 · Last 4 games 17.2 · z-score +2.31 · 96th percentile15.5 projected points80% range 5.6 to 27.6
  5. 5Derrick HenryBALvs ATLOur model 13.2 · Last 4 games 20.9 · z-score +2.17 · 95th percentile14.9 projected points80% range 5.2 to 26.7
  6. 6James CookBUFvs LAOur model 14.0 · Last 4 games 15.1 · z-score +2.04 · 94th percentile14.3 projected points80% range 4.9 to 25.8
  7. 7Javonte WilliamsDALvs TBOur model 13.4 · Last 4 games 16.7 · z-score +2.01 · 94th percentile14.2 projected points80% range 4.8 to 25.6
  8. 8Christian McCaffreySFvs SEAOur model 12.8 · Last 4 games 14.5 · z-score +1.80 · 93rd percentile13.2 projected points80% range 4.2 to 24.2
  9. 9Ashton JeantyLVvs NEQuestionable (ankle) on the week 5 official injury report; dnpOur model 12.5 · Last 4 games 13.7 · z-score +1.70 · 92nd percentile12.8 projected points80% range 4.0 to 23.6
  10. 10Chase BrownCINvs MIAOur model 13.6 · Last 4 games 9.3 · z-score +1.67 · 91st percentile12.6 projected points80% range 3.9 to 23.4
  11. 11Jeremiyah LoveARIvs DETOur model 12.0 · Last 4 games 9.5 · z-score +1.41 · 90th percentile11.5 projected points80% range 3.2 to 21.7
  12. 12Breece HallNYJvs CLEOut (quadricep) on the week 5 official injury report; dnpOur model 11.5 · Last 4 games 10.8 · z-score +1.38 · 89th percentile11.4 projected points80% range 3.1 to 21.6
  13. 13Omarion HamptonLACvs DENOur model 11.0 · Last 4 games 10.2 · z-score +1.27 · 88th percentile10.8 projected points80% range 2.8 to 20.9
  14. 14Jaylen WarrenPITvs INDOur model 10.6 · Last 4 games 10.8 · z-score +1.22 · 87th percentile10.6 projected points80% range 2.7 to 20.6
  15. 15Bhayshul TutenJAXvs PHIOur model 10.3 · Last 4 games 11.3 · z-score +1.20 · 86th percentile10.5 projected points80% range 2.6 to 20.4
  16. 16D'Andre SwiftCHIvs GBOur model 9.7 · Last 4 games 13.4 · z-score +1.19 · 85th percentile10.5 projected points80% range 2.6 to 20.4
  17. 17Cam SkatteboNYGvs WASOur model 10.9 · Last 4 games 9.1 · z-score +1.19 · 84th percentile10.5 projected points80% range 2.6 to 20.4
  18. 18Quinshon JudkinsCLEvs NYJOur model 10.9 · Last 4 games 8.3 · z-score +1.16 · 83rd percentile10.4 projected points80% range 2.5 to 20.2
  19. 19Aaron JonesMINvs NOOur model 10.2 · Last 4 games 10.6 · z-score +1.14 · 82nd percentile10.3 projected points80% range 2.5 to 20.0
  20. 20Bucky IrvingTBvs DALOur model 10.2 · Last 4 games 8.6 · z-score +1.05 · 81st percentile9.9 projected points80% range 2.2 to 19.5
  21. 21Kyle MonangaiCHIvs GBOut (thumb) on the week 5 official injury report; dnpOur model 7.9 · Last 4 games 13.6 · z-score +0.88 · 80th percentile9.1 projected points80% range 1.9 to 18.6
  22. 22David MontgomeryHOUvs TENOur model 8.7 · Last 4 games 9.3 · z-score +0.82 · 79th percentile8.8 projected points80% range 1.8 to 18.2
  23. 23Rhamondre StevensonNEvs LVQuestionable (knee) on the week 5 official injury report; limitedOur model 9.1 · Last 4 games 7.8 · z-score +0.81 · 79th percentile8.8 projected points80% range 1.8 to 18.1
  24. 24TreVeyon HendersonNEvs LVOur model 9.0 · Last 4 games 6.9 · z-score +0.76 · 78th percentile8.6 projected points80% range 1.8 to 17.9
  25. 25Tony PollardTENvs HOUOur model 8.6 · Last 4 games 7.6 · z-score +0.72 · 77th percentile8.4 projected points80% range 1.7 to 17.6
  26. 26Ollie Gordon IIMIAvs CINOur model 7.9 · Last 4 games 9.4 · z-score +0.69 · 76th percentile8.3 projected points80% range 1.7 to 17.5
  27. 27Jacory Croskey-MerrittWASvs NYGOur model 8.7 · Last 4 games 6.4 · z-score +0.68 · 75th percentile8.2 projected points80% range 1.6 to 17.4
  28. 28Emanuel WilsonSEAvs SFOur model 8.0 · Last 4 games 8.7 · z-score +0.66 · 74th percentile8.1 projected points80% range 1.6 to 17.3
  29. 29Alvin KamaraNOvs MINQuestionable (back) on the week 5 official injury report; limitedOur model 7.8 · Last 4 games 8.0 · z-score +0.61 · 73rd percentile7.9 projected points80% range 1.5 to 16.9
  30. 30Brian RobinsonATLvs BALOur model 6.9 · Last 4 games 11.4 · z-score +0.60 · 72nd percentile7.9 projected points80% range 1.5 to 16.9
  31. 31J.K. DobbinsDENvs LACOur model 8.8 · Last 4 games 4.4 · z-score +0.60 · 71st percentile7.8 projected points80% range 1.5 to 16.8
  32. 32RJ HarveyDENvs LACOur model 7.3 · Last 4 games 6.0 · z-score +0.41 · 70th percentile7.0 projected points80% range 1.1 to 15.4
  33. 33Saquon BarkleyPHIvs JAXOut (hamstring) on the week 5 official injury report; dnpOur model 7.5 · Last 4 games 4.8 · z-score +0.39 · 69th percentile6.9 projected points80% range 1.1 to 15.2
  34. 34Rachaad WhiteWASvs NYGOur model 6.6 · Last 4 games 7.0 · z-score +0.35 · 68th percentile6.7 projected points80% range 1.0 to 14.9
  35. 35Woody MarksHOUvs TENOur model 6.8 · Last 4 games 6.0 · z-score +0.33 · 67th percentile6.6 projected points80% range 0.9 to 14.8
  36. 36Keaton MitchellLACvs DENOur model 6.5 · Last 4 games 5.5 · z-score +0.24 · 66th percentile6.2 projected points80% range 0.8 to 14.3
  37. 37Braelon AllenNYJvs CLEOur model 6.4 · Last 4 games 5.0 · z-score +0.21 · 65th percentile6.1 projected points80% range 0.8 to 14.2
  38. 38Tyler AllgeierARIvs DETOur model 6.2 · Last 4 games 5.2 · z-score +0.17 · 65th percentile5.9 projected points80% range 0.8 to 14.0
  39. 39Blake CorumLAvs BUFOur model 6.1 · Last 4 games 4.5 · z-score +0.14 · 64th percentile5.8 projected points80% range 0.7 to 13.8
  40. 40Rico DowdlePITvs INDQuestionable (toe) on the week 5 official injury report; limitedOur model 6.2 · Last 4 games 3.3 · z-score +0.09 · 63rd percentile5.5 projected points80% range 0.7 to 13.6
  41. 41MarShawn LloydGBvs CHIOur model 5.7 · Last 4 games 4.3 · z-score +0.04 · 62nd percentile5.3 projected points80% range 0.6 to 13.4
  42. 42Kendre MillerNOvs MINOur model 5.3 · Last 4 games 3.6 · z-score −0.06 · 61st percentile4.9 projected points80% range 0.5 to 12.8
  43. 43Chris Rodriguez Jr.JAXvs PHIOur model 4.6 · Last 4 games 5.7 · z-score −0.07 · 60th percentile4.9 projected points80% range 0.5 to 12.7
  44. 44Tank BigsbyPHIvs JAXOn injured reserve (weekly roster, week 5)Our model 5.1 · Last 4 games 3.5 · z-score −0.09 · 59th percentile4.7 projected points80% range 0.5 to 12.6
  45. 45Mike Washington Jr.LVvs NEOur model 4.8 · Last 4 games 4.5 · z-score −0.10 · 58th percentile4.7 projected points80% range 0.5 to 12.6
  46. 46Devin SingletaryNYGvs WASOur model 4.5 · Last 4 games 5.3 · z-score −0.10 · 57th percentile4.7 projected points80% range 0.4 to 12.5
  47. 47Ty JohnsonBUFvs LAOur model 4.4 · Last 4 games 3.1 · z-score −0.24 · 56th percentile4.1 projected points80% range 0.3 to 11.7
  48. 48Kaleb JohnsonGBvs CHIOur model 4.5 · Last 4 games 2.3 · z-score −0.26 · 55th percentile4.0 projected points80% range 0.3 to 11.6
  49. 49Kenny GainwellTBvs DALOur model 4.2 · Last 4 games 3.3 · z-score −0.26 · 54th percentile4.0 projected points80% range 0.3 to 11.6
  50. 50Najee HarrisNYGvs WASOur model 4.3 · Last 4 games 2.9 · z-score −0.27 · 53rd percentile4.0 projected points80% range 0.3 to 11.5
  51. 51Kaelon BlackSFvs SEAOur model 4.0 · Last 4 games 3.1 · z-score −0.30 · 52nd percentile3.8 projected points80% range 0.3 to 11.3
  52. 52Kimani VidalLACvs DENOur model 3.2 · Last 4 games 5.8 · z-score −0.30 · 51st percentile3.8 projected points80% range 0.3 to 11.2
  53. 53Austin EkelerWASvs NYGOur model 3.6 · Last 4 games 4.0 · z-score −0.33 · 51st percentile3.7 projected points80% range 0.3 to 11.0
  54. 54Tyjae SpearsTENvs HOUOur model 3.6 · Last 4 games 2.6 · z-score −0.40 · 50th percentile3.4 projected points80% range 0.2 to 10.5
  55. 55Sean TuckerTBvs DALOur model 2.3 · Last 4 games 7.0 · z-score −0.40 · 49th percentile3.4 projected points80% range 0.2 to 10.5
  56. 56George HolaniSEAvs SFQuestionable (ribs) on the week 5 official injury report; limitedOur model 3.2 · Last 4 games 3.0 · z-score −0.45 · 48th percentile3.1 projected points80% range 0.2 to 10.1
  57. 57Justice HillBALvs ATLOur model 3.3 · Last 4 games 2.6 · z-score −0.46 · 47th percentile3.1 projected points80% range 0.2 to 10.1
  58. 58Samaje PerineCINvs MIAOur model 3.2 · Last 4 games 2.3 · z-score −0.48 · 46th percentile3.0 projected points80% range 0.2 to 9.7
  59. 59Seth McGowanINDvs PITOur model 3.3 · Last 4 games 1.3 · z-score −0.52 · 45th percentile2.9 projected points80% range 0.2 to 9.3
  60. 60Michael CarterTENvs HOUOur model 2.8 · z-score −0.53 · 44th percentile2.8 projected points80% range 0.2 to 9.2
  61. 61Bam KnightARIvs DETOur model 2.7 · Last 4 games 2.4 · z-score −0.56 · 43rd percentile2.6 projected points80% range 0.1 to 8.8
  62. 62Chris BrooksGBvs CHIOut (ankle) on the week 5 official injury report; dnpOur model 2.7 · Last 4 games 2.4 · z-score −0.57 · 42nd percentile2.6 projected points80% range 0.1 to 8.7
  63. 63Raheim SandersCLEvs NYJOur model 2.5 · Last 4 games 2.6 · z-score −0.58 · 41st percentile2.6 projected points80% range 0.1 to 8.6
  64. 64Will ShipleyPHIvs JAXOur model 2.7 · Last 4 games 1.9 · z-score −0.58 · 40th percentile2.5 projected points80% range 0.1 to 8.5
  65. 65Jaleel McLaughlinCLEvs NYJOur model 1.9 · Last 4 games 4.5 · z-score −0.60 · 39th percentile2.5 projected points80% range 0.1 to 8.3
  66. 66Jaylen WrightMIAvs CINQuestionable (foot) on the week 5 official injury report; limitedOur model 2.9 · Last 4 games 0.6 · z-score −0.62 · 38th percentile2.4 projected points80% range 0.1 to 8.1
  67. 67Kaytron AllenWASvs NYGOur model 2.7 · Last 4 games 1.4 · z-score −0.62 · 37th percentile2.4 projected points80% range 0.1 to 8.1
  68. 68Tyler BadieDENvs LACOur model 2.1 · Last 4 games 3.4 · z-score −0.63 · 36th percentile2.4 projected points80% range 0.1 to 8.0
  69. 69Sione VakiDETvs ARIOur model 2.3 · Last 4 games 2.3 · z-score −0.64 · 36th percentile2.3 projected points80% range 0.1 to 7.8
  70. 70Jordan JamesSFvs SEAOur model 2.4 · Last 4 games 1.5 · z-score −0.65 · 35th percentile2.2 projected points80% range 0.1 to 7.7
  71. 71Tyler GoodsonDALvs TBOur model 2.3 · Last 4 games 1.4 · z-score −0.68 · 34th percentile2.1 projected points80% range 0.1 to 7.4
  72. 72Emari DemercadoDALvs TBOur model 2.5 · Last 4 games 0.8 · z-score −0.68 · 33rd percentile2.1 projected points80% range 0.1 to 7.4
  73. 73Ameer AbdullahJAXvs PHIOur model 2.1 · Last 4 games 1.6 · z-score −0.71 · 32nd percentile2.0 projected points80% range 0.1 to 7.1
  74. 74Nicholas SingletonTENvs HOUOur model 2.4 · Last 4 games 0.6 · z-score −0.71 · 31st percentile2.0 projected points80% range 0.1 to 7.1
  75. 75Riley NowakowskiPITvs INDOur model 2.0 · z-score −0.71 · 30th percentile2.0 projected points80% range 0.1 to 7.0
  76. 76CJ DonaldsonNOvs MINOur model 2.1 · Last 4 games 0.8 · z-score −0.74 · 29th percentile1.8 projected points80% range 0.1 to 6.7
  77. 77Corey KinerNEvs LVOur model 1.9 · Last 4 games 1.3 · z-score −0.75 · 28th percentile1.8 projected points80% range 0.1 to 6.6
  78. 78Roschon JohnsonCHIvs GBOur model 1.6 · Last 4 games 2.3 · z-score −0.76 · 27th percentile1.8 projected points80% range 0.1 to 6.5
  79. 79Michael BurtonCLEvs NYJOur model 1.6 · z-score −0.80 · 25th percentile1.6 projected points80% range 0.0 to 6.1
  80. 80Ray DavisBUFvs LAOur model 1.9 · Last 4 games 0.5 · z-score −0.80 · 25th percentile1.6 projected points80% range 0.0 to 6.1
  81. 81D.GiddensINDvs PITOur model 1.6 · z-score −0.80 · 24th percentile1.6 projected points80% range 0.0 to 6.1
  82. 82Alec IngoldLACvs DENOur model 1.6 · z-score −0.80 · 22nd percentile1.6 projected points80% range 0.0 to 6.1
  83. 83Demond ClaiborneMINvs NOOur model 1.9 · Last 4 games 0.5 · z-score −0.80 · 22nd percentile1.6 projected points80% range 0.0 to 6.1
  84. 84Kyle JuszczykSFvs SEAOut (knee) on the week 5 official injury report; dnpOur model 1.6 · z-score −0.80 · 22nd percentile1.6 projected points80% range 0.0 to 6.0
  85. 85DJ HermanMIAvs CINOur model 1.2 · Last 4 games 1.8 · z-score −0.86 · 21st percentile1.3 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.5
  86. 86Tahj BrooksCINvs MIAOur model 1.3 · z-score −0.86 · 20th percentile1.3 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.4
  87. 87LeQuint Allen Jr.JAXvs PHIOur model 1.5 · Last 4 games 0.5 · z-score −0.87 · 19th percentile1.3 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.3
  88. 88Brady RussellSEAvs SFOur model 1.0 · Last 4 games 2.0 · z-score −0.87 · 18th percentile1.3 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.3
  89. 89Eli HeidenreichPITvs INDOur model 1.1 · z-score −0.90 · 17th percentile1.1 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.3
  90. 90Tyrone Tracy Jr.NYGvs WASOur model 1.4 · Last 4 games -0.1 · z-score −0.91 · 15th percentile1.1 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.3
  91. 91Dean ConnorsLAvs BUFOur model 1.1 · z-score −0.91 · 15th percentile1.1 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.3
  92. 92Isaiah DavisNYJvs CLEOur model 1.0 · z-score −0.92 · 14th percentile1.0 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.3
  93. 93DeeJay DallasMINvs NOOur model 1.1 · Last 4 games 0.8 · z-score −0.93 · 13th percentile1.0 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.3
  94. 94Reggie GilliamNEvs LVOut (ankle) on the week 5 official injury report; dnpOur model 1.2 · Last 4 games 0.4 · z-score −0.93 · 12th percentile1.0 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.3
  95. 95Kene NwangwuNYJvs CLEOur model 0.9 · z-score −0.94 · 11th percentile0.9 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.3
  96. 96Dare OgunbowaleHOUvs TENOur model 0.9 · z-score −0.95 · 10th percentile0.9 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.3
  97. 97Hunter LuepkeDALvs TBOur model 1.0 · Last 4 games 0.3 · z-score −0.96 · 9th percentile0.8 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.3
  98. 98Max BredesonMINvs NOOur model 0.7 · z-score −0.99 · 8th percentile0.7 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.3
  99. 99Patrick RicardNYGvs WASOur model 0.9 · Last 4 games 0.1 · z-score −1.00 · 8th percentile0.7 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.3
  100. 100Andrew BeckNYJvs CLEOur model 0.6 · z-score −1.02 · 7th percentile0.6 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.3
  101. 101Travis HomerPITvs INDOur model 0.6 · Last 4 games 0.5 · z-score −1.03 · 6th percentile0.6 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.3
  102. 102Jacob SaylorsDETvs ARIOur model 0.5 · z-score −1.04 · 5th percentile0.5 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.3
  103. 103Velus JonesSEAvs SFOur model 0.5 · z-score −1.04 · 4th percentile0.5 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.3
  104. 104Dylan LaubeLVvs NEOur model 0.5 · z-score −1.05 · 2nd percentile0.5 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.3
  105. 105Rasheen AliBALvs ATLOur model 0.5 · z-score −1.05 · 2nd percentile0.5 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.3
  106. 106Adam PrenticeDENvs LACOur model 0.4 · z-score −1.06 · 1st percentile0.4 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.3
  107. 107Julius ChestnutTENvs HOUOur model 0.3 · z-score −1.07 · 0th percentile0.3 projected points80% range 0.0 to 5.3

Status is week 5’s official injury report (Out, Doubtful, Questionable) or a reserve list from the weekly rosters (IR, PUP). Facts only: a status never moves a player or changes his points.

Week 5 is graded: see its grade on the track record.

Every position in week 6 · Rest-of-season RB rankings · Rankings and the draft board