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Week 5 fantasy defense rankings

Every defense’s projected points for week 5, the same in PPR, Half PPR and Standard, in the order we pinned them before the first kickoff. Points come first; the Advanced switch adds our model’s number, the last 4 games average, and each player’s z-score and percentile among defenses.

This is week 5 as it was pinned. The current week is week 6.

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The pinned projections from our weekly K/DEF model: the team’s implied points scored and allowed from the betting line, plus its last four games · Built Tue, Oct 6, and saved before the first kickoff · fingerprint 055314a3: the code that proves these numbers haven’t changed since they were saved

Defense · every format · points
  1. 1Jacksonville JaguarsJAXvs PHIOur model 8.9 · Last 4 games 9.8 · z-score +1.82 · 97th percentile8.9 projected points
  2. 2Cincinnati BengalsCINvs MIAOur model 8.9 · Last 4 games 9.0 · z-score +1.81 · 93rd percentile8.9 projected points
  3. 3Houston TexansHOUvs TENOur model 8.5 · Last 4 games 4.3 · z-score +1.54 · 90th percentile8.5 projected points
  4. 4Minnesota VikingsMINvs NOOur model 8.1 · Last 4 games 12.0 · z-score +1.29 · 87th percentile8.1 projected points
  5. 5New York JetsNYJvs CLEOur model 7.5 · Last 4 games 5.3 · z-score +0.92 · 83rd percentile7.5 projected points
  6. 6Denver BroncosDENvs LACOur model 7.5 · Last 4 games 6.3 · z-score +0.91 · 80th percentile7.5 projected points
  7. 7Pittsburgh SteelersPITvs INDOur model 7.4 · Last 4 games 8.8 · z-score +0.86 · 77th percentile7.4 projected points
  8. 8New England PatriotsNEvs LVOur model 7.4 · Last 4 games 7.8 · z-score +0.80 · 73rd percentile7.4 projected points
  9. 9Dallas CowboysDALvs TBOur model 7.1 · Last 4 games 1.5 · z-score +0.66 · 70th percentile7.1 projected points
  10. 10Chicago BearsCHIvs GBOur model 7.1 · Last 4 games 7.0 · z-score +0.63 · 67th percentile7.1 projected points
  11. 11Seattle SeahawksSEAvs SFOur model 7.0 · Last 4 games 8.0 · z-score +0.56 · 63rd percentile7.0 projected points
  12. 12Washington CommandersWASvs NYGOur model 6.9 · Last 4 games 4.3 · z-score +0.49 · 60th percentile6.9 projected points
  13. 13Atlanta FalconsATLvs BALOur model 6.8 · Last 4 games 3.5 · z-score +0.40 · 57th percentile6.8 projected points
  14. 14Cleveland BrownsCLEvs NYJOur model 6.3 · Last 4 games 5.3 · z-score +0.11 · 53rd percentile6.3 projected points
  15. 15New York GiantsNYGvs WASOur model 6.0 · Last 4 games 7.3 · z-score −0.12 · 50th percentile6.0 projected points
  16. 16Las Vegas RaidersLVvs NEOur model 5.9 · Last 4 games 9.0 · z-score −0.17 · 47th percentile5.9 projected points
  17. 17Los Angeles ChargersLACvs DENOur model 5.7 · Last 4 games 5.8 · z-score −0.28 · 43rd percentile5.7 projected points
  18. 18Detroit LionsDETvs ARIOur model 5.7 · Last 4 games 4.3 · z-score −0.33 · 40th percentile5.7 projected points
  19. 19New Orleans SaintsNOvs MINOur model 5.4 · Last 4 games 1.5 · z-score −0.47 · 37th percentile5.4 projected points
  20. 20Baltimore RavensBALvs ATLOur model 5.4 · Last 4 games 4.3 · z-score −0.48 · 33rd percentile5.4 projected points
  21. 21Los Angeles RamsLAvs BUFOur model 5.3 · Last 4 games 5.0 · z-score −0.56 · 30th percentile5.3 projected points
  22. 22Tennessee TitansTENvs HOUOur model 5.3 · Last 4 games 4.0 · z-score −0.59 · 27th percentile5.3 projected points
  23. 23Indianapolis ColtsINDvs PITOur model 5.2 · Last 4 games 3.3 · z-score −0.61 · 23rd percentile5.2 projected points
  24. 24Green Bay PackersGBvs CHIOur model 4.9 · Last 4 games 3.0 · z-score −0.82 · 20th percentile4.9 projected points
  25. 25San Francisco 49ersSFvs SEAOur model 4.9 · Last 4 games 4.5 · z-score −0.83 · 17th percentile4.9 projected points
  26. 26Philadelphia EaglesPHIvs JAXOur model 4.3 · Last 4 games 2.3 · z-score −1.19 · 13th percentile4.3 projected points
  27. 27Miami DolphinsMIAvs CINOur model 4.1 · Last 4 games 1.8 · z-score −1.33 · 10th percentile4.1 projected points
  28. 28Buffalo BillsBUFvs LAOur model 4.0 · Last 4 games 4.5 · z-score −1.43 · 7th percentile4.0 projected points
  29. 29Tampa Bay BuccaneersTBvs DALOur model 3.6 · Last 4 games 5.0 · z-score −1.66 · 3rd percentile3.6 projected points
  30. 30Arizona CardinalsARIvs DETOur model 3.2 · Last 4 games 3.0 · z-score −1.93 · 0th percentile3.2 projected points

Week 5 is graded: see its grade on the track record.

Every position in week 6 · Rankings and the draft board